.

Конспект по курсу антикризисное управление

Язык: русский
Формат: реферат
Тип документа: Word Doc
0 491
Скачать документ

Стратегии антикризисного управления.

Ii caiaaeiie eeoa?aoo?a a oneiaeyo eiieo?aioeee auaeeaaaiinoue oe?i a
ia?aua 2-3 aiaea (iaeue aecian) ioiineony eae 3:1, aaea 3 – oe?iu n
oniaoiui aecianii e 1 – oe?iu aaie?iou. Yoi caaeneo io ninoiyiey
i?iaeoeoa oe?iu. Iaiaoiaeeii oniaoii ooieoeeiie?iaaoue ia ?uiea eee
oniaoii i?ioeainoiyoue. A ia?aii neo/aa eiaai aeaei n ninoiyoaeueiie
oe?iie, ai aoi?ii – n eiieo?aioii niiniaiie. I?e auai?a no?aoaaee oe?iu
(i?ioeaaeo?u aioee?eceniiai oi?aaeaiey) iu iiiaaeaai a noa?o
aeayoaeueiinoe. I?ioeaaeo?u aioee?eceniiai oi?aaeaiey:

1. Ainnoaiiaeoaeueiay

· ?ano?oeoo?ecaoeey oe?iu (aeciana) – auaiae i?aaei?eyoey ec oeiainiaiai
e?ecena ca n/ao ?aeiaeeie?eiaiauo oaoiieiaee eee ia?aciaaiea no?oeoo?,
ninoiyueo ec aecian – aaeeieoe (no?oeoo?a i?aaei?eyoey, i?aaeiieaaathuay
iaiiaeaiea eiiiaaoeee i?iaeoeoa eee ?ai?aaiecaoeee i?aaei?eyoey.
eiiiaaoeey naycaia n oeo/oaieai aeciana ca n/ao oaoiieiaee, a
?ano?oeoo?ecaoeey – ca n/ao ia?aciaaiey iiauo th?eaee/aneeo eeoe)

· niiaoeey (icaei?iaeaiea) – i?ioeaaeo?a, eiaaea nianoaaiieeii
i?aaei?eyoey, e?aaeeoi?ii eee ae?oaei eeoeii ieacuaaaony oeiainiaay
iiiiuue a aeayoaeueiinoe i?aaei?eyoey, niinianoaothuay iieo/aieth
aeiiieieoaeueiie i?eauee. iniiaiay iniaaiiinoue ainioaiiaeoaeueiuo
i?ioeaaeo? – i?iaeieaeaiea aeayoaeueiinoe i?aaei?eyoey.

wmetafile80100090000038700000002003000000000001500000026060F001F00546169
6B6F2044726177696E672C4D3230302C583435392C592D313830322C0004000000030108
00050000000B0200000000050000000C0257001A00070000001004010001000100010005
00000002010100000008000000FA0200000400000000000000040000002D010000300000
0025031600040004000400040007000400080006000A0009000C000E000D0012000D0016
000C0019000C001C000C001F000D0024000D0028000E002B000E0031000E0038000E003D
000E0042000E0045000F004A00100050001000530008000000FA02000000000000000000
00040000002D01010004000000F00100000300000000002. Eeeaeaeaoeeiiiay

· aeia?iaieueiay – inouanoaeyaony iiae eiio?ieai e?aaeeoi?ia

· i?eioaeeoaeueiay – inouanoaeyaony ii ?aoaieth a?aeo?aaeiiai noaea

Noaaeee aeeciaiiiai oeeeea oe?iu:

1. aicieeiiaaiea

2. noaiiaeaiea

3. iiaeuai

4. aunoay oi/ea iiaeuaia

5. niaae

6. i?ae?auaiea aeayoaeueiinoe

I?e aioee?eceniii oi?aaeaiee:

1 – eiieo?aioii niiniaiay oe?ia

2 – ninoiyoaeueiay oe?ia

3 – aaie?io
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.

2.

3. Anee ?aoaiea i i?iaaaeaiee niiaoeee auiineo a?aeo?aaeiue noae ii
o?aaiaaieth e?aaeeoi?ia

Ii?aaeaeaiea oeaeaniia?aciinoe i?iaaaeaiey niiaoeee: i?e i?aae?ieaaaaiie
niiaoeee i?aaei?eyoey iaiaoiaeeii oaaaeeony a ?aaeueiie iieueca
(icaei?iaeaiee) ca n/ao niiaoeee, iniauea cia/aiea eiatho
eiaanoeoeeiiiua aeiaeaiey. Oaeei ia?acii iioaioeoeeaeueiiio eiaanoi?o
ioaeii noi?ioee?iaaoue i?inueao i niiaoeee oaeei ia?acii, /oi au ii aue
oaaaeaeai a ia?niaooeaa i?eauee (aeciana). Ii?aaeaeaiea caaea/ e
iai?aaeaiey inouanoaeaiey niiaoeee: aeaaiay oeaeue ethaie niiaoeee –
oeiainiaia icaei?iaeaiea, iiyoiio aeinoaeiaiay niiaoeey eee a oiaea
i?ioeaaeo? aaie?ionoaa a eiia/iii ninoiyiee aeieaeia i?eaanoe e
i?eaueueiiio ninoi/ieth i?aaei?eyoey.

Caaea/e niiaoeee:

· Inaiaiaeaeaiea io aeieaiaiai a?aiaie

· ?anoe?aiea oicyenoaaiiie naiinoiyoaeueiinoe i?aaei?eyoey (auaeaeaiea
aeoeaia e eiina?aaoeey ianneaia)

· ?ac?aoaiea e i?aaeoi?aaeaeaiea aiciiaeiuo eiioeeeoia o/anoieeia
oicyenoaothuaai noauaeoa (iioeiaeueiia aeaeaiea aeoeee ia aeiee)

A caaeneiinoe io ianooaaia e?ecena niiaoeeth oneiaii aeaeyo ia aeaa
oeia:

· Niiaoeey, iai?aaeaiiay ia ?aoeiaine?iaaiea aai aeieaa

· Niiaoeey, iai?aaeaiiay ia aai ?ano?oeoo?ecaoeeth

Iniiaiua ?acaeaeu aecian-ieaia:

1. Iauea naaaeaiey i i?aaei?eyoee

2. Ioeaiea e?eceniiai ninoiyiey

3. Iainiiaaiea eiioeaioeee e oi?iu niiaoeee i?aaei?eyoey

4. Nenoaia oeiainiauo ia?ii?eyoee ii niiaoeee

5. Iaeeaeaaiua ?acoeueoaou niiaoeee

Iinea ?anniio?aiey aecian-ieaia e ?ann/aoa aai yooaeoeaiinoe, ana
caeioa?aniaaiiua eeoea ooaa?aeaeatho aai e aecian ieai ?aaeecoaony: i?e
aeinoaeaaiie niiaoeee a n?iee, ia onoaiaaeeaaaiua a?aeo?aaeiui noaeii, e
i?e noaeaaiie niiaoeee – a n?iee, ii?aaeaeyaiua a?aeo?aaeiui noaeii (12
ianyoeaa – ia?aiia/aeueiue n?ie e i?e iaiaoiaeeiinoe aua 6 ianyoeaa).

Oi?iu niiaoeee:

1. Iai?aaeaia ia ?ai?aaiecaoeeth aeieaa aac eciaiaiee th?eaee/aneiai
eeoea

2. Iai?aaeaia ia ?ai?aaiecaoeeth i?aaei?eyoey n eciaiaieai
th?eaee/aneiai eeoea

Iiaaoaiea aeieaa ca n/ao:

· Athaeaeaoa

· Aaieianeiai e?aaeeoa

· Ia?aaiaea aeieaa ia ae?oaia th?eaee/aneia eeoei

· Auione iaeeaaoeee

I?iaiice?iaaiea. Ninoiyiea aaie?ionoaa.

A i?iiuoeaiiinoe aii?in i?iaiice?iaaieay aaie?ionoaa aia?aua aue
?anniio?ai e iao/ii ?anniio?ai aia?eeaineei enneaaeiaaoaeai Aeueoiaiii.
Ii aaneaaeiaae 66 i?aaei?eyoee n 1946-65 aa. e i?iaiaeece?iaae 22
aiaeeoe/ineeo eiyooeoeeaioa ia o?iaia iee?iyeiiiieee. Ec ieo ii aua?ae 5
/anoi ano?a/athueony. 50% i?aaei?eyoee inoaeenue onoie/eauie e 50%
iaiie?ioeeenue – oi/ii ii aai i?iaiico. Ia iniiaa enneaaeiaaiey ii auaae
oi?ioeo iyoeoaeoi?iiai aiaeeca, eioi?ay yaeyaony aaeeinoaaiiie aei
naaiaeiaoiaai aeiy. Oi?ioea:

Z=3.3 x X1 + 1.0 x X2 + 0.6 x X3 + 1.4 x X4 + 1.2 x X5

X1 = I?eaueue aei auieaou iaeiaia / Sum A

X2 = Au?o/ea aei ?aaeecaoeee / Sum A

X3 = Nianoaaiiue eaieoae (?uii/iay ioeaiea) / i?eaea/aiiue eaieoae

X4 = ?aeiaanoe?iaaiiay i?eaueue / Sum A

X5 = Nianoaaiua iai?ioiua n?aaenoaa (iauai i?iaeaae) / Sum A

O?aeoiaea:

(0,0;1,8) -aa?iyoiinoue aaie?ionoaa aaeeea

(1,8;2,7)- aa?iyoiinoue aaie?ioioaa n?aaeiyy

(2,7;3,0) – aaie?ionoai aiciiaeii i?e ii?aaeaeaiiuo aanoiyoaeuenoaao

(3,0; aane.) – aa?iyoiinoue aaie?ionoaa iaea

K1 = o?iaaiue aeioiaeiinoe aeoeaa

K2 = iai?a/eaaaiinoue aeoeaa

K3 = eiyooeoeeaioa niioiioaiey nianoaaiiiai e caaiiiai eaieoaea

K4 = o?iaaiue ?aioaaaeueiinoe eaieoaea

K5 = ?aai/ee eaieoae

Iaoiaeeea ii?aaeaeaiey oeiainiaie onoie/eainoe iaieaoaaeaniiniaiiai
i?aaei?eyoey (ioeaii/iay iaoiaeeea aeey i?iaaaeaiey i?ioeaaeo?u
aaie?ionoaa-iaaethaeaiey)

Iaoiaeeea auea iienaia iinoaiiaeaieai iiia? 498 “i iaioi?uo ia?ao ii
?aaeecaoeee caeiiiaeaoaeuenoaa i ianinoiyoaeueiinoe”.

Noaiaiue n?i/iinoe iieaou aeoeaia e ianneaia:

A1 – iaeaieaa eeeaeaeiua aeoeau

I1 – iaeaieaa n?i/iua iaycaoaeuenoaa

A2 – auno?i ?aaeecoaiua aeoeau

I2 – e?aoein?i/iua ianneau

A3 – iaaeeaiii ?aaeecoaiua aeoeau

I3 – aeieain?i/iua ianneau

A4 – o?oaeii ?aaeecoaiua aeoeau

I4 – iinoiyiiua ianneau

E1 = ( A1 + A2 + A3 ) / ( I1 + I2 ) => 2,0 – iauay iaania/aiiinoue
i?aaei?eyoey iai?ioiuie n?aaenoaaie aeey aaaeaiey oicyenoaaiiie
aeayoaeueiinoe

E2 = ( I4 – A4 ) / ( A1 + A2 + A3 ) => 0,1 – iaania/aiiinoue nianoaaiuie
n?aaenoaaie, iaiaoiaeeiua aeey aai oeiainiaie onoie/eainoe

– i?aaei?eyoea ia ieaoaaeiiniiniaiia, anee E1 e E2 – ia aoiaeyo a
onoaiiaeaiiua ?aiee

– i?aaei?eyoea oneiaii ia ieaoaaeiiniiniaiia (aeieacuaaaony
iaieaoaaeaniiniaiinoue aeieacuaaaony n i?eaea/aieai eiyooeoeeaioa
ainnoaiiaeaiey E3), anee E1 eee E2 auoiaeyo ca ?aiee

– i?aaei?eyoea ieaoaaeaniiniaiia

E3 = (E1o+(n/T) x (E1o-E1n)) / 2

K1o – oaeoe/aneia cia/aiea eiyooeoeeaioa

E1i – cia/aiea E1 ia ia/aei io/aoiiai ia?eiaea

n – ?anniao?eaaaiue ia?eiae a ianyoeao

Onoie/eainoue i?aaei?eyoey a oneiaeyo iaii?aaeaeaiiinoe iaiaoiaeeii
?anniio?aoue cia/aiea E3 a ioaeaeueiii ia?eiaea:

Anee n=6 i?e E3>1, oi i?aaei?eyoea eiaao ?aaeueiue oain ainnoaiiaeoue
ieaoaaeaniiniaiinoue.

Anee n=3 i?e E3>1, oi i?aaei?eyoea eiaao ?aaeueiue oain ia oo?aoeoue
ieaoaaeaniiniaiinoue, anee E3

Нашли опечатку? Выделите и нажмите CTRL+Enter

Похожие документы
Обсуждение

Оставить комментарий

avatar
  Подписаться  
Уведомление о
Заказать реферат!
UkrReferat.com. Всі права захищені. 2000-2020