Диагностирование и прогноз экологического состояния природно-технической гидрогеологической системы

Содержание

Введение

1. Формирование исходной модели

1.1 Стратиграфия и литология изучаемой территории

1.2 Гидрогеологические условия

1.3 Техногенные условия

2. Формирование информационной модели

3. Тестирование модели

Заключение

Список литературы

Введение

Целью данной работы является проведение диагностирования и составления
прогноза состояния природно-технической гидрогеологической системы
подольско-мячковского горизонта по содержанию хлора в его водах.

Основными задачами являются: анализ территории по набору
гидрогеологических, геологических и техногенных условий состояния
изучаемой территории; выяснение влияния имеющихся условий на загрязнение
подольско-мячковского горизонта хлором; формирование
информационно-диагностической модели; тестирование сформированной модели
для прогноза состояния подольско-мячковского горизонта.

1. Формирование исходной модели

1.1 Стратиграфия и литология изучаемой территории

Исследуемая территория расположена в восточной части Московской области.
Стратиграфия и литология изучается на основе гидрогеологического
разреза. В геологическом строении данного района представлены следующие
стратиграфические единицы: отложения среднего и верхнего карбона,
средней юры, нижнего мела и четвертичные отложения.

Средний отдел карбона представлен глинистыми известняками
подольско-мячковского горизонта и глинами. Мощность известняков по
разрезу изменяется от 34 до 39 м., а глин >2 м. Верхний отдел карбона
представлен известняками касимовского водоносного горизонта и
пестроцветными глинами. Мощность касимовского горизонта около 50 м.
Мощность глинистых отложений составляет 8-12 м.

Средний отдел юры на изучаемой территории представлен келловейским
ярусом, который сложен черными глинами мощностью на западе 15 м., на
востоке 9 м.

Нижний мел на данной территории представлен аптским ярусом, сложенным
песками мощностью 11м. Пески обводнены.

Отложения четвертичной системы имеют широкое распространение и
представлены пролювиальными, флювиогляциальными и ледниковыми осадками.
Среднечетвертичные ледниковые отложения представлены: моренными
суглинками мощностью на западе 21 м., на востоке 11 м.,
флювиогляциальными песками и супесью. Пролювиальные отложения
представлены суглинками мощностью от 2 до 5 м.

1.2 Гидрогеологические условия

На изучаемой территории развито два водоносных комплекса: касимовский и
подольско-мячковский.

Водовмещающими породами касимовского горизонта являются известняки с
прослоями глинистых известняков мощностью 48-49 м. Водоносный горизонт
напорный, верхним водоупором служат юрские черные глины, а нижним
пестроцветные глины. Пьезометрический уровень расположен на глубине в
западной части разреза 42 м, в восточной – 31 м.

Водовмещающими породами подольско-мячковского горизонта также являются
известняки мощностью 34-39 м. Водоупор представлен глинами.
Пьезометрический уровень этого горизонта расположен на глубине 45 м, то
есть ниже уровня касимовского горизонта.

Пьезометрический уровень подольско-мячковского горизонта расположен ниже
уровня касимовского горизонта. Таким образом, возможен переток воды
через водоупор из касимовского горизонта в подольско-мячковский, а
следовательно, подольско-мячковский водоносный горизонт может быть
подвержен загрязнению. Используя данные по скважинам был построен
геолого-гидрогеологический разрез по линии 1-13.

В качестве исследуемых показателей были приняты следующие: защищенность
подольско-мячковского горизонта; суммарная защищенность
подольско-мячковского горизонта; положение пьезометрического уровня
касимовского водоносного горизонта; положение пьезометрического уровня
подольско-мячковского водоносного горизонта; вертикальный градиент,
определяющий направление и интенсивность перетекания между касимовским и
подольско-мячковским водоносными горизонтами; водопроводимость
подольско-мячковского водоносного горизонта; функциональный тип
территории; уровень концентрации хлоридов в подземных водах
подольско-мячковского водоносного горизонта; По первым четырем
показателям были построены карты на основе данных по скважинам. Также
были построены карты водопроводимости, типа территории и концентрации
хлоридов в воде.

1.3 Техногенные условия

Анализ рисунков 6, 7 и 8 показал, что для территорий с/х назначения
загрязнение хлоридами подольско-мячковского горизонта наибольшее и
превышает 3 ПДК, но есть небольшая территория на северо-западе района,
где содержание хлоридов 2007Тип
территориииндустриалселитебнаяс/х8Содержание хлоридов в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 3 ПДК

Проранжировав показатели, произведем переход от средних значений
показателей к рангам. Ранжированные значения показателей по блокам
приведены в таблице 3.

Таблица 3. Ранжированные значения показателей по блокам № блокаСуммарная
защищенностьЗащищенностьУровень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Уровень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Вертикальный градиент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Водопроводимость TТип территорииСодержание
хлоридов в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Число значений каждого из показателей, попавших в тот или иной ранг,
приведены в таблице 4.

Таблица 4. Число значений попавших в ранги № п/п ПоказателиЧисло
значений показателей входящих в ранг1231Защищенность27 49 202Суммарная
защищенность2230143Уровень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Урове
нь
picscalex1000100090000030501000002001c0000000000050000000902000000000500
0000020101000000050000000102ffffff00050000002e0118000000050000000b020000
0000050000000c02200220071200000026060f001a00ffffffff000010000000c0ffffff
a6ffffffe0060000c60100000b00000026060f000c004d61746854797065000050001c00
0000fb0280fe0000000000009001010000000402001054696d6573204e657720526f6d61
6e00b8a4f377c1a4f3772030f577cc0f66ec040000002d01000008000000320a80011305
020000006d6308000000320a8001010202000000706408000000320a80012e0001000000
43641c000000fb0280fe0000000000009001000000020002001053796d626f6c0000520e
0a4940f11200b8a4f377c1a4f3772030f577cc0f66ec040000002d01010004000000f001
000008000000320a8001f303010000002d641c000000fb0220ff00000000000090010000
00000402001054696d6573204e657720526f6d616e00b8a4f377c1a4f3772030f577cc0f
66ec040000002d01000004000000f001010008000000320ae00142010100000032640a00
000026060f000a00ffffffff0100000000001c000000fb021000070000000000bc020000
00cc0102022253797374656d00eccc0f66ec00000a0021008a0100000000010000005cf3
1200040000002d01010004000000f00100000300000000001940375Вертикальный
градиент2039376Водопроводимость1640407Тип территории1942358Содержание
хлоридов в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Аналогичные формулы для: сложных двоичных признаков: сложных троичных
признаков. В нашем случае в качестве функции отклика является содержание
хлоридов в водоносном горизонте. Таким образом, имея ввиду наличие 3-х
рангов по хлору полная информативность равняется: начения логарифмов
приведены в приложении 1. Узнав значения логарифмов получаем полную
информативность: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 бит.

В дальнейшем при расчете взаимной информативности признаков 145,9 бит
будут приняты за 100% информативности, по отношению к которой и будет
выясняться наибольшая информативность признаков.

Производим расчет информативности простых признаков.

1. Суммарная защищенность.

Cl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214124picscalex1000100090000039b02000003001c0000000000050000000902000000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,9-143=2,9 бит

В дальнейшем при расчете информативности в скобочках сразу будут
приведены значения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.

2. Защищенность.

Cl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39,31
222171049=74,3369520=30,8picscalex1560100090000039d00000002001c000000000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,9-144,41=1,5 бит

1. Уровень касимовского горизонта

Cl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=5
1,7
21923749=70,7353412=18,7picscalex1560100090000039d00000002001c0000000000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,9-141, 1=4,8 бит

2. Уровень подольско-мячковского горизонта

Cl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29,1
21616840=60,931515737=55,8picscalex1560100090000039d00000002001c00000000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,9-145,8=0,1 бит

3. Вертикальный градиент

4. Водопроводимость

Cl Т1231-61016=15,3
21318940=61,232614-40=37,4picscalex1560100090000039d00000002001c00000000
000500000009020000000005000000020101000000050000000102ffffff00050000002e
0118000000050000000b0200000000050000000c02800160011200000026060f001a00ff
ffffff000010000000c0ffffffe6ffffff20010000660100000b00000026060f000c004d
61746854797065000020001c000000fb0280fe0000000000009001000000020002001053
796d626f6c000051090aa0a0f11200b8a4f377c1a4f3772030f577210a668d040000002d
01000008000000320a400134000100000053790a00000026060f000a00ffffffff010000
0000001c000000fb021000070000000000bc02000000cc0102022253797374656d000021
0a668d00000a0021008a0100000000ffffffffbcf31200040000002d01010004000000f0
010000030000000000393819145,9-113,9=32 бит Тип территории Cl
ТТ1231127-19=17,5
21623342=53,131181635=53,5picscalex1560100090000039d00000002001c00000000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,9-124,1=21,8 бит

Все произведенные выше расчеты информативности простых признаков
приведены в таблице 5.

Таблица 5. Информативность простых признаков Показатели
Информативностьбит%Суммарная защищенность2,91,9Защищенность1,51,0Уровень
касимовского горизонта4,83,3Уровень подольско-мячковского
горизонта0,10,06Вертикальный градиент2,41,6Водопроводимость3221,9Тип
территории21,814,9Уровень концентрации хлоридов145,9100

Анализируя полученные результаты можно сказать, что половина признаков
оказались практически не информативными, и ни один из признаков не
показал минимальной информативности в 30% для дальнейшего их
использования для диагностики и прогнозирования экологического состояния
ПТГГС.

В сложившейся ситуации необходимо сформировать сложные двоичные и
троичные признаки, чтобы повысить информативность имеющихся признаков с
помощью способа перебора. Для этого выбираем 4 наиболее информативных
признака таких как: суммарная защищенность; уровень касимовского
горизонта; водопроводимость; тип территории
(picscalex100010009000003c900000002001c000000000005000000090200000000050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).

Нам необходимо выбрать 3 наиболее информативных двоичных признака и 1
троичный.

Вначале сформируем двоичные признаки и выберем наиболее информативные из
них.

Здесь и в дальнейшем будут указаны в отдельном столбце сразу значения
относительной информативности.

1. Суммарная защищенность и уровень касимовского горизонта
(picscalex1000100090000030501000002001c000000000005000000090200000000050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).

Cl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СуммаОтносительная
информативность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,3
216621420,3226521318,93223-54,933-2465,5118551827,83111133,75133–302321
-32,8сумма96130,25145,9-130,25=15,7 бит 3. Суммарная защищенность и
водопроводимость
(picscalex1000100090000030501000002001c000000000005000000090200000000050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).

4. Суммарная защищенность и тип территории
(picscalex1000100090000030501000002001c000000000005000000090200000000050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)

5. Уровень касимовского горизонта и водопроводимость
(picscalex1000100090000030501000002001c000000000005000000090200000000050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)

6. Уровень касимовского горизонта и тип территории
(picscalex1000100090000030501000002001c000000000005000000090200000000050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)

Cl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СуммаОтносительная
информативность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,51288-16161333814202261132028,12186-1413,83233-66332-465,51141-53,6сумм
а96116,5145,9-116,5=29,4 бит

7. Водопроводимость и тип территории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Cl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СуммаОтносительная
информативность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–7032
1214-2625,92248-1211234792030,3317–14013-1784,32153-87,611-4-4012-1343,
2сумма9682,3145,9-82,3=63,6 бит

Анализируя имеющиеся результаты расчетов, выбираем 3 двоичных признака с
наибольшей информативностью: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,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,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.

Теперь необходимо сформировать троичные признаки.

1. Суммарная защищенность, уровень касимовского горизонта и
водопроводимость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Cl
picscalex450100090000031d01000002001c00000000000500000009020000000005000
000020101000000050000000102ffffff00050000002e0118000000050000000b0200000
000050000000c024002e0081200000026060f001a00ffffffff000010000000c0ffffffa
6ffffffa0080000e60100000b00000026060f000c004d61746854797065000060001c000
000fb0220ff0000000000009001000000000402001054696d6573204e657720526f6d616
e00b8a4f377c1a4f3772030f577910c66c6040000002d01000008000000320ae0012e080
1000000337908000000320ae001bc0401000000327908000000320ae0015401010000003
1791c000000fb0280fe0000000000009001010000000402001054696d6573204e6577205
26f6d616e00b8a4f377c1a4f3772030f577910c66c6040000002d01010004000000f0010
00008000000320a8001200701000000587908000000320a8001a70301000000587908000
000320a800158000100000058791c000000fb0280fe00000000000090010000000200020
01053796d626f6c0000a30c0ab8a0f11200b8a4f377c1a4f3772030f577910c66c604000
0002d01000004000000f001010008000000320a8001950501000000c47908000000320a8
0011c0201000000c4790a00000026060f000a00ffffffff0100000000001c000000fb021
000070000000000bc02000000cc0102022253797374656d00c6910c66c600000a0021008
a010000000001000000bcf31200040000002d01010004000000f00100000300000000001
23СуммаОтносительная информативность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-1615,8112223710,911363-98,3111–2201332–20121-5387
,6221-1122222331710,12322–20122332812,522331-43,221341-53,6212252912,93
2321-32,8332-2-20331–440312-11223131–10322-2-20233-1-10сумма9691,7145,
9-91,7=54,2 бит

2. Уровень касимовского горизонта, водопроводимость и тип территории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Cl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СуммаОтносительная информативность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–4013264-109,712224-65,5123-3698,323259-1413,22314–
4032212-32,8313–4401333–3022212-812,5223243913,833221-32,81312–201212
1-32,8113–220211-4140212-1343,23232–2022132-54,8213-1122сумма9671,7145
,9-71,7=71,7 бит

3. Суммарная защищенность, уровень касимовского горизонта и тип
территории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Cl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СуммаОтносительная информативность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,211224-65,511121-32,81134-598,91216511215,91323
–3022322157,62332–20232-1-10123423913,8221-1-1021254-98,9213-22443212-
-20332-2-20333–440313-11223121–10322-2-202111–10сумма9686,3145,9-86,3
=59,6 бит

4. Суммарная защищенность, водопроводимость и тип территории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Cl
picscalex450100090000031d01000002001c00000000000500000009020000000005000
000020101000000050000000102ffffff00050000002e0118000000050000000b0200000
000050000000c024002e0081200000026060f001a00ffffffff000010000000c0ffffffa
6ffffffa0080000e60100000b00000026060f000c004d61746854797065000060001c000
000fb0220ff0000000000009001000000000402001054696d6573204e657720526f6d616
e00b8a4f377c1a4f3772030f5776a0d66ba040000002d01000008000000320ae0012c080
1000000347908000000320ae001b80401000000337908000000320ae0015501010000003
1791c000000fb0280fe0000000000009001010000000402001054696d6573204e6577205
26f6d616e00b8a4f377c1a4f3772030f5776a0d66ba040000002d01010004000000f0010
00008000000320a8001160701000000587908000000320a8001a90301000000587908000
000320a800158000100000058791c000000fb0280fe00000000000090010000000200020
01053796d626f6c0000290d0a66a0f11200b8a4f377c1a4f3772030f5776a0d66ba04000
0002d01000004000000f001010008000000320a80018a0501000000c47908000000320a8
0011d0201000000c4790a00000026060f000a00ffffffff0100000000001c000000fb021
000070000000000bc02000000cc0102022253797374656d00ba6a0d66ba00000a0021008
a010000000001000000bcf31200040000002d01010004000000f00100000300000000001
23СуммаОтносительная информативность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–7023263-98,322233-662234531218,73312–20322-4-40313
–440132510-1513,8323-112233211-2212211-2212153-87,6113-1343,21314–4011
1-3-30212–110112-1232,8211-1-102311–10сумма9670,3145,9-70,3=75,6 бит

В результате проведения расчетов информативности методом перебора,
необходимо выбрать наиболее информативных три двоичных и один троичный
признаков для того, чтобы произвести тестирование модели. Итоговые
значения наиболее информативных сложных двоичных и троичных признаков
сведены в таблице 6.

Таблица 6. Наиболее информативные сложные признаки

ПоказателиИнформативностьБит%picscalex1000100090000030501000002001c00000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,027,4picscalex1000100090000030501000002001c000000000005000000090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,828,6pic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,643,6picscalex1000100090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,651,9Уровень
концентрации хлоридов145,9100

3. Тестирование модели

После определения более информативных сложных признаков необходимо
произвести тестирование сформированной модели для выяснения её
пригодности для дальнейшего прогноза. Для этого используется контрольная
модель, с помощью которой, с использованием матриц взаимных переходов,
считается сумма голосов. В контрольной части смотрят сочетание значений
признаков и по матрице взаимных переходов определяют количество
попаданий этих сочетаний в 1, 2 и 3 ранг по хлору и в итоге суммируют
их. Тот ранг, в который попадет наибольшее значение сочетаний, будет
считаться прогнозным. Этот ранг будет сравниваться с фактическим
значением ранга по хлору. Чем больше будет совпадений прогнозных
значений с фактическими, тем более пригодной для прогноза окажется наша
модель.

Результаты диагностирования модели приведены в таблице 7

Таблица 7. Диагностирование модели № блокаРангиСодержание
хлора123фактическоепрогнозное97picscalex1000100090000030f01000003001c000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1c000000fb0280fe0000000000009001000000020002001053796d626f6c0000630c0a32
40f11200b8a4f377c1a4f3772030f57705016629040000002d01020004000000f0010100
08000000320a6e012605010000002b7908000000320a6e014103010000002b7908000000
320a6e011a01010000002b790a00000026060f000a00ffffffff0100000000001c000000
fb021000070000000000bc02000000cc0102022253797374656d00290501662900000a00
21008a0100000000010000005cf31200040000002d01010004000000f001020003000000
0000picscalex1000100090000030f01000003001c000000000005000000090200000000
05000000020101000000050000000102ffffff00050000002e0118000000050000000b02
00000000050000000c02e00360071200000026060f001a00ffffffff000010000000c0ff
ffffb8ffffff20070000980300000b00000026060f000c004d617468547970650000c000
08000000fa0200001000000000000000040000002d010000050000001402000240000500
00001302000207071c000000fb0280fe0000000000009001000000000402001054696d65
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08000000320a8c03430301000000377908000000320a6e01570601000000317908000000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003001c00000000000500000009020000000005000000020101000000050000000102fff
fff00050000002e0118000000050000000b0200000000050000000c02e003c0071200000
026060f001a00ffffffff000010000000c0ffffffb8ffffff80070000980300000b00000
026060f000c004d617468547970650000c00008000000fa0200001000000000000000040
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0000000009001000000000402001054696d6573204e657720526f6d616e00b8a4f377c1a
4f3772030f5779a0b663d040000002d01010008000000320a8c032103020000003235080
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0000000009001000000020002001053796d626f6c000087030a78a0f11200b8a4f377c1a
4f3772030f5779a0b663d040000002d01020004000000f001010008000000320a6e017c0
5010000002b3508000000320a6e016603010000002b3508000000320a6e0150010100000
02b350a00000026060f000a00ffffffff0100000000001c000000fb02100007000000000
0bc02000000cc0102022253797374656d003d9a0b663d00000a0021008a0100000000010
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0090000030f01000003001c0000000000050000000902000000000500000002010100000
0050000000102ffffff00050000002e0118000000050000000b0200000000050000000c0
2e003a0071200000026060f001a00ffffffff000010000000c0ffffffb8ffffff6007000
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0000000000000040000002d01000005000000140200024000050000001302000243071c0
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16e00b8a4f377c1a4f3772030f5775a15668e040000002d01010008000000320a8c03670
301000000347908000000320a6e01750601000000307908000000320a6e014e040100000
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21000070000000000bc02000000cc0102022253797374656d008e5a15668e00000a00210
08a0100000000010000005cf31200040000002d01010004000000f001020003000000000
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0200000000050000000c02e003e0071200000026060f001a00ffffffff000010000000c0
ffffffb8ffffffa0070000980300000b00000026060f000c004d617468547970650000c0
0008000000fa0200001000000000000000040000002d0100000500000014020002400005
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020002001053796d626f6c0000b2120a0c40f11200b8a4f377c1a4f3772030f5775c0c66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772030f57735156672040000002d01010008000000320a8c031503020000003139080000
00320a6e01c60601000000333908000000320a6e019e0401000000373908000000320a6e
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0000009001000000020002001053796d626f6c00000f0c0ad440f11200b8a4f377c1a4f3
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6d6573204e657720526f6d616e00b8a4f377c1a4f3772030f57735156672040000002d01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Анализируя таблицу стоит обратить внимание на
так называемый «отказ», который свидетельствует об недостаточности
значений показателей входящих в ранг. В нашей ситуации при нашей модели,
разбитой на 96 блоков, идеальным количеством значений входящих в 3 ранга
составляло бы 32.. К сожалению, в нашей модели такое условие не
выполняется. В некоторых случаях число значений входящих в ранг не
превышает и 12. Это снижает эффективность нашей модели.

На основании составленной таблицы необходимо посчитать ошибку по
формуле: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, где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- количество совпадений прогнозных значений и
фактических.

Такая высокая ошибка свидетельствует об неэффективности сформированной
нами информационной модели.

Если следовать методике диагностирования и прогноза экологического
состояния ПТГГС, то после проведения тестирования имеющейся
информационной модели, нам необходимо произвести прогноз состояния
ПТГГС. В нашем случае, т.к. модель оказалась неэффективной, прогноз, с
точки зрения здравого смысла, производить не стоит, потому что его
результаты не будут корректными и достоверными. Но т.к. главной нашей
целью является освоение методики проведения диагностирования и прогноза
экологического состояния ПТГГС, прогноз необходимо произвести.

Результаты прогноза приведены в таблице 8.

Таблица 8. Результаты прогноза

№ блокаРангиСодержание
хлора123прогнозное121picscalex1000100090000030f01000003001c0000000000050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57720526f6d616e00b8a4f377c1a4f3772030f57759116647040000002d0101000800000
0320a8c03f30302000000313608000000320a6e01800401000000333608000000320a6e0
1640201000000383608000000320a6e014e000100000035361c000000fb0280fe0000000
000009001010000cc0402001054696d6573204e657720526f6d616e00b8a4f377c1a4f37
72030f57759116647040000002d01020004000000f001010009000000320a6e019c06030
00000eef2ea651c000000fb0280fe0000000000009001000000020002001053796d626f6
c0000510c0aff40f11200b8a4f377c1a4f3772030f57759116647040000002d010100040
00000f001020008000000320a6e017c05010000002bf208000000320a6e0166030100000
02bf208000000320a6e015001010000002bf20a00000026060f000a00ffffffff0100000
000001c000000fb021000070000000000bc02000000cc0102022253797374656d0047591
1664700000a0021008a0100000000020000005cf31200040000002d01020004000000f00
10100030000000000picscalex1000100090000033401000003001c00000000000500000
009020000000005000000020101000000050000000102ffffff00050000002e011800000
0050000000b0200000000050000000c02e00360091200000026060f001a00ffffffff000
010000000c0ffffffb8ffffff20090000980300000b00000026060f000c004d617468547
970650000c00008000000fa0200001000000000000000040000002d01000005000000140
200024000050000001302000220091c000000fb0280fe000000000000900100000000040
2001054696d6573204e657720526f6d616e00b8a4f377c1a4f3772030f577131566b0040
000002d01010008000000320a8c03560401000000347908000000320a6e0150040100000
0307908000000320a6e01340201000000337908000000320a6e0130000100000031791c0
00000fb0280fe0000000000009001010000cc0402001054696d6573204e657720526f6d6
16e00b8a4f377c1a4f3772030f577131566b0040000002d01020004000000f0010100090
00000320a6e01780603000000eef2ea651c000000fb0280fe00000000000090010000000
20002001053796d626f6c0000ae140ad840f11200b8a4f377c1a4f3772030f577131566b
0040000002d01010004000000f001020008000000320a6e015805010000002bf20800000
0320a6e013003010000002bf208000000320a6e011a01010000002bf20a00000026060f0
00a00ffffffff0100000000001c000000fb021000070000000000bc02000000cc0102022
253797374656d00b0131566b000000a0021008a0100000000020000005cf312000400000
02d01020004000000f00101000300000000002132picscalex1000100090000030f01000
003001c00000000000500000009020000000005000000020101000000050000000102fff
fff00050000002e0118000000050000000b0200000000050000000c02e003e0071200000
026060f001a00ffffffff000010000000c0ffffffb8ffffffa0070000980300000b00000
026060f000c004d617468547970650000c00008000000fa0200001000000000000000040
000002d01000005000000140200024000050000001302000296071c000000fb0280fe000
0000000009001000000000402001054696d6573204e657720526f6d616e00b8a4f377c1a
4f3772030f577880366cc040000002d01010008000000320a8c038f03010000003079080
00000320a6e01c90601000000307908000000320a6e01a20401000000307908000000320
a6e017b0201000000307908000000320a6e0154000100000030791c000000fb0280fe000
0000000009001000000020002001053796d626f6c000022130a8e40f11200b8a4f377c1a
4f3772030f577880366cc040000002d01020004000000f001010008000000320a6e01a90
5010000002b7908000000320a6e018203010000002b7908000000320a6e015b010100000
02b790a00000026060f000a00ffffffff0100000000001c000000fb02100007000000000
0bc02000000cc0102022253797374656d00cc880366cc00000a0021008a0100000000010
000005cf31200040000002d01010004000000f0010200030000000000picscalex100010
0090000030f01000003001c0000000000050000000902000000000500000002010100000
0050000000102ffffff00050000002e0118000000050000000b0200000000050000000c0
2e00360071200000026060f001a00ffffffff000010000000c0ffffffb8ffffff2007000
0980300000b00000026060f000c004d617468547970650000c00008000000fa020000100
0000000000000040000002d0100000500000014020002400005000000130200020a071c0
00000fb0280fe0000000000009001000000000402001054696d6573204e657720526f6d6
16e00b8a4f377c1a4f3772030f577db0b6695040000002d01010008000000320a8c03450
301000000377908000000320a6e015a0601000000317908000000320a6e0174040100000
0317908000000320a6e01700201000000307908000000320a6e014e000100000035791c0
00000fb0280fe0000000000009001000000020002001053796d626f6c0000680c0a6740f
11200b8a4f377c1a4f3772030f577db0b6695040000002d01020004000000f0010100080
00000320a6e015e05010000002b7908000000320a6e017803010000002b7908000000320
a6e015001010000002b790a00000026060f000a00ffffffff0100000000001c000000fb0
21000070000000000bc02000000cc0102022253797374656d0095db0b669500000a00210
08a0100000000010000005cf31200040000002d01010004000000f001020003000000000
0picscalex1000100090000030f01000003001c000000000005000000090200000000050
00000020101000000050000000102ffffff00050000002e0118000000050000000b02000
00000050000000c02e003e0071200000026060f001a00ffffffff000010000000c0fffff
fb8ffffffa0070000980300000b00000026060f000c004d617468547970650000c000080
00000fa0200001000000000000000040000002d010000050000001402000240000500000
01302000288071c000000fb0280fe0000000000009001000000000402001054696d65732
04e657720526f6d616e00b8a4f377c1a4f3772030f57713156606040000002d010100080
00000320a8c03150302000000313908000000320a6e01c60601000000333908000000320
a6e019e0401000000373908000000320a6e01760201000000343908000000320a6e014e0
00100000035391c000000fb0280fe0000000000009001000000020002001053796d626f6
c0000db0b0a9140f11200b8a4f377c1a4f3772030f57713156606040000002d010200040
00000f001010008000000320a6e01ac05010000002b3908000000320a6e017e030100000
02b3908000000320a6e015001010000002b390a00000026060f000a00ffffffff0100000
000001c000000fb021000070000000000bc02000000cc0102022253797374656d0006131
5660600000a0021008a0100000000010000005cf31200040000002d01010004000000f00
102000300000000003

Как уже было сказано выше, данный прогноз является некорректным и не
представляет никакой ценности.

Заключение

В процессе проведения данной работы нами были оценены
гидрогеологические, геологические и техногенные условия изучаемой
территории, выяснено влияния имеющихся условий на загрязнение
подольско-мячковского горизонта хлором, была сформирована
информационно-диагностическая модель, подвергавшаяся тестированию.
Выяснилось, что имеющаяся модель не эффективна, потому как имеет большую
ошибку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. В таком случае
необходимо повышать эффективность модели, теми или иными способами.

На мой взгляд, есть несколько способов повышения эффективности модели, а
именно: – замена показателей, не полностью связанных с функцией отклика
и не сильно влияющих на ее изменение. В нашем случае, такими признаками,
на мой взгляд, являются защищенность и вертикальный градиент, т.к. он
имеет важную роль в местах перетекания, а таких мест на карте не много,
поэтому его роль незначительна; – введение дополнительного показателя,
такого как минерализация вод подольско-мячковского горизонта; –
разбиение имеющихся значений не на 3 ранга, а, предположим, на 2 или 4
ранга; – изменить способ разбиения на обучающую и контрольную части; –
уточнение достоверности исходных данных; – разбиение на ранги таким
образом, чтобы в каждый ранг входило одинаковое количество значений
показателя.

Список литературы

1. Учебное пособие Природно-технические гидрогеологические системы. М.:
2006 г.

2. Белоусова А.П., Гавич И.К., Лисенков А.Б. Попов Е.В., Экологическая
гидрогеология

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