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Анализ финансового состояния страховой компании

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Курсовая работа содержит 52 страницы, 7 таблиц, 34 использованных
источника, 4 формулы, 7 рисунков.

СТРАХОВАЯ КОМПАНИЯ, СТРАХОВАЯ ДЕЯТЕЛЬНОСТЬ, СТРАХОВАЯ ПРЕМИЯ, СТРАХОВАЯ
ВЫПЛАТА, СТРАХОВЫЕ РЕЗЕРВЫ, ФИНАНСОВЫЙ АНАЛИЗ, ФИНАНСОВЫЙ РЕЗУЛЬТАТ,
ДОХОДЫ И РАСХОДЫ СТРАХОВОЙ КОМПАНИИ, ПРИБЫЛЬ СТРАХОВОЙ КОМПАНИИ,
ПЛАТЕЖЕСПОСОБНОСТЬ, УПРАВЛЕНИЕ РИСКАМИ, ПЕРЕСТРАХОВАНИЕ

Предметом исследования в курсовой работе является финансовое состояние
страховой компании.

Объектом исследования является ООО «Росгосстрах – Поволжье».

Цель курсовой работы – на основе изучения теоретических аспектов
проведения анализа финансового состояния страховой организации,
исследования финансового положения ООО «Росгосстрах-Поволжье»,
разработать комплекс предложений и рекомендаций по его качественному
улучшению.

В процессе работы были изучены труды современных отечественных
экономистов по данной теме; проведен анализ инвестиционных аспектов
деятельности ООО «Росгосстрах – Поволжье»; разработаны предложения по
улучшению финансового положения страховой компании.

В результате исследования была проанализирована инвестиционная
деятельность страховой организации, дана оценка структуре активов и
пассивов страховой компании, финансового результата ее деятельности,
исследован порядок формирования доходов, расходов, прибыли, страховых
резервов страховой компании, разработаны рекомендации по улучшению
финансового положения страховой компании.

Степень внедрения –частичная.

Область применения – в учебном процессе.

Содержание

Введение

1 Теоретические аспекты формирования финансовых результатов деятельности
страховой организации

1.1 Экономическая сущность и классификация доходов и расходов
страховщика

1.2 Финансовые результаты деятельности страховой организации

2. Финансовый анализ деятельности страховой организации (на примрее ООО
«Росгосстрах-Поволжье» ? «Главное управление по Республике Мордовия»

2.1 Динамика структуры активов и пассивов ООО «Росгосстрах- Поволжье»
?«Главное управление по Республике Мордовия»

2.2 Анализ финансовых результатов деятельности ООО
«Росгосстрах-Поволжье» ?«Главное управление по Республике Мордовия»

3. Финансово-экономические и организационные аспекты улучшения
финансового состояния страховой организации

3.1 Совершенствование методики оценки результатов деятельности и
текущего финансового состояния страховых компаний

3.2 Оптимизация страхового портфеля и улучшение финансовых результатов,
на основе использования перестрахования и сострахования

Заключение

Список использованных источников

Введение

Страхование – система страховой защиты от возможного наступления
различного рода рисков. Оно представляет собой способ возмещения
страховщиком убытков пострадавшим путем их распределения между всеми
страхователями. Страховщик формирует за счет страховых взносов всей
совокупности страхователей страховой фонд, средства которого при
наступлении страховых событий направляет на страховые выплаты. Отсюда,
страховщик является лишь посредником в этой системе отношений, причем на
ответственности которого длительный период времени находятся большие
суммы денежных средств. Поэтому является очень важным обеспечение его
финансовой устойчивости и платежеспособности.

Страхование в развитой рыночной экономике выполняет роль экономического
стабилизатора, механизма защиты от случайных потерь. Страхование может
применяться для организации страховой защиты различных отраслей
народного хозяйства, финансового обеспечения непрерывности
производственного процесса в условиях различных чрезвычайных событий, а
также для сохранения уровня благосостояния граждан. Кроме того,
страхование включено в сферу финансово-кредитных отношений, и
следовательно, обладает способностью само оказывать регулирующее
воздействие на воспроизводственный процесс.

Этот вопрос приобретает наибольшую актуальность в современных российских
условиях. Подавляющее число страховщиков не имеет достаточного опыта
работы, отсутствует достоверная статистика, поэтому большинство
принимаемых на страхование рисков в нужной степени не изучены.

Целью работы является разработать, на основе изучения теоретических
аспектов проведения анализа финансового состояния страховой организации
и исследования финансового положения ООО «Росгосстрах-Поволжье»
«Главное управление по Республике Мордовия», комплекс предложений и
рекомендаций по его качественному улучшению.

Задачами работы являются:

– изучить экономическую сущность и классификацию доходов и расходов
страховщика;

– рассмотреть теоретические аспекты формирования финансового результата
деятельности страховой организации;

– проанализировать динамику структуры активов и пассивов ООО
«Росгосстрах-Поволжье» «Главное управление по Республике Мордовия»;

– провести анализ финансовых результатов деятельности ООО
«Росгосстрах-Поволжье» «Главное управление по Республике Мордовия»;

– разработать ряд мер, по укреплению финансового положения
рассматриваемой страховой компании.

Объектом исследования является ООО «Росгосстрах-Поволжье» «Главное
управление по Республике Мордовия».

Предметом является финансовое состояние страховой компании.

1 Теоретические аспекты формирования финансовых результатов деятельности
страховой организации

1.1 Экономическая сущность и классификация доходов и расходов
страховщика

Экономика страховой организации, как и любой другой предпринимательской
структуры, строится на принципах соизмерения в денежной форме доходов от
страховой деятельности и расходов, связанных с ее осуществлением.
Соизмерение доходов и расходов позволяет оценить эффективность работы
страховой организации. Положительная разница между доходами и расходами
показывает прибыль, которая является основой гарантированного исполнения
обязательств перед страхователями и другими контрагентами и для
устойчивого развития страховой организации.

Теоретически понятие дохода рассматривается со следующих позиций. В
широком смысле доходом страховщика называется совокупная сумма денежных
поступлений на его счета в результате осуществления им страховой и иной,
не запрещенной законодательством деятельности. Механизм получения,
состав и структура дохода страховых организаций отражают отраслевую
специфику и стратегию каждого отдельного предприятия (рисунок 1.1) [11,
с. 245].

Более узкое понимание дохода характерно для учетной политики. В
соответствии с Положением по бухгалтерскому учету «Доходы организации»
(ПБУ 9/99), доходами организации признается увеличение экономических
выгод в результате поступления активов (денежных средств, иного
имущества) и (или) погашения обязательств, приводящее к увеличению
капитала этой организации, за исключением вкладов участников.

Принципиально важным моментом данного определения является увязка с
увеличением суммы собственного капитала.

Рисунок 1.1 Доходы страховых организаций

Доходы страховой организации, согласно ПБУ 9/99, подразделяются на две
основные группы:

– доходы от обычных видов деятельности;

– доходы от прочей деятельности.

Предметом основной деятельности страховой организации является
предоставление страховых услуг в рамках заключенных договоров
страхования, сострахования и перестрахования. В связи с этим доходами от
обычных видов деятельности страховой организации считается выручка,
связанная с поступлениями от данных видов страховых операций.

Доходами, отличными от доходов по основной деятельности страховой
организации, считается выручка, связанная с прочими поступлениями. В
зависимости от характера операций доходы от прочей деятельности
подразделяются на три основные группы:

– операционные доходы, не являющиеся результатом основной деятельности,
но связанные с ведением финансово-хозяйственной деятельности;

– внереализационные доходы, т.е. доходы от операций, непосредственно не
связанных со страховым производством;

– чрезвычайные доходы, т.е. поступления, возникающие как последствия
чрезвычайных обстоятельств хозяйственной деятельности [14, с. 462].

Организация самостоятельно признает поступления доходами от обычных
видов деятельности или прочими поступлениями, исходя из требований ПБУ
9/99, характера своей деятельности, видов доходов и условий их
получения. Соизмерение доходов и расходов производится по однородным
группам операций.

При определении состава доходов от обычных видов деятельности,
операционных, внереализационных, а также чрезвычайных доходов страховые
организации руководствуются Планом счетов бухгалтерского учета
финансово-хозяйственной деятельности страховых организаций и Инструкцией
по его применению, утвержденных приказом Минфина России от 4 сентября
2001 г., и Методическими рекомендациями о порядке формирования
показателей бухгалтерской отчетности страховых организаций,
утвержденными приказом Минфина России от 12 января 2001 г.

Доходы от страховых операций — основной источник пополнения доходной
базы страховщика, а также основное условие организации страхового
бизнеса. Главным источником этих доходов являются взносы страхователей,
или страховые премии по договорам прямого страхования. Объем поступлений
страховых взносов в страховую компанию зависит от состава и структуры
страхового портфеля, ценовой (тарифной) политики, маркетинговой
стратегии и других факторов. Действие всех этих факторов взаимосвязано и
взаимообусловлено. Так, реализация выработанной маркетинговой стратегии
невозможна без проведения соответствующей тарифной политики. С другой
стороны, сбор страховых премий определяется объективными факторами, не
зависящими от страховщика: конъюнктурой рынка, темпами инфляции,
законодательной и нормативной базой, системой налогообложения, степенью
монополизации страхового рынка, динамикой ссудного процента, уровнем
развития государственной социальной защиты и т.д.

Из страховых взносов, полученных по договорам страхования и
перестрахования, формируются страховые резервы, предназначенные для
предстоящих выплат по этим договорам. Часть страховых резервов, не
использованная для выполнения обязательств по договорам страхования,
учитывается в доходе страховщика.

Наряду с предоставлением страховой защиты страховая организация может
выполнять посреднические функции и получать за это вознаграждение. Так,
при передаче риска в перестрахование первичный страховщик получает
комиссионное вознаграждение за предоставление рафинированного риска
перестраховщику. Существует возможность получения комиссионного или
брокерского вознаграждения страховой организацией, передающей риск на
страхование другой страховой компании. В договорах пропорционального
перестрахования практикуется выплата тантьемы перестрахователю в
качестве формы участия первичного страховщика в прибыли перестраховщика.
По способу получения такого дохода его можно отнести к группе
комиссионных и брокерских вознаграждений [32, c. 288].

Рассмотрим состав доходов страховщика от прочих видов деятельности.

Доходы от операционной деятельности. Основную часть операционных доходов
страховой организации составляют доходы от инвестиционной деятельности.
Инвестиционная деятельность страховых организаций не связана напрямую со
страхованием. Она основана на использовании временно свободных средств
страховых резервов в качестве источника капиталовложений. Находясь в
распоряжении страховщика в течение определенного срока, страховые
резервы в соответствии с установленными правилами инвестируются в
доходные активы и приносят страховой организации инвестиционный доход. С
точки зрения возможностей получения инвестиционного дохода резервы по
долгосрочному страхованию жизни обладают наибольшей привлекательностью,
так как находятся в распоряжении страховщика в течение длительного
времени.

Доход от инвестиций складывается из процентов по ценным бумагам,
поступлений от участия в уставных капиталах других организаций,
процентов по банковским вкладам, процентов по депо премий у
перестрахователей, процентов по вкладам в недвижимость и других
поступлений. Инвестиционный доход является важным источником дохода для
страховых фирм. Кроме того, За счет этого источника финансируются
накопительные виды страхования жизни в формах участия в прибыли
страховщика и целевого инвестирования средств страховых резервов. В
странах с развитым фондовым рынком инвестиционный доход позволяет
перекрывать отрицательные результаты по страховым операциям в рисковых
видах страхования.

Кроме инвестиционных доходов в состав операционных доходов страховой
организации включаются:

– вознаграждения от страховщиков по договорам сострахования;

– вознаграждения за оказание услуг страхового агента, сюрвейера и
аварийного комиссара;

– суммы, полученные в порядке регресса;

– поступления от продажи основных средств, материальных ценностей и
других активов;

– поступления, связанные с предоставлением в аренду активов;

– проценты, полученные за предоставление в пользование денежных средств
организации [22, c. 512].

Нередко источником доходов страховой организации является оплата
консультационных услуг и обучения. Располагая квалифицированным
персоналом, страховая организация может предлагать услуги по
риск-менеджменту, установке программных продуктов, обучению
специалистов. Эти доходы не связаны с предоставлением страховой защиты,
но имеют непосредственное отношение к страховой деятельности.

Внереализационные и чрезвычайные доходы страховой организации аналогичны
по своему составу внереализационным и чрезвычайным доходам нестраховых
организаций.

В составе внереализационных доходов отражаются:

– штрафы, пени, неустойки за нарушение условий договоров, по которым
получены решения суда об их взыскании;

– поступления в возмещение убытков, причиненных страховой организации;

– прибыль прошлых лет, выявленная в отчетном году;

– суммы кредиторской и дебиторской задолженности, по которым истек срок
исковой давности;

– курсовые разницы, возникающие при переоценке в установленном порядке
имущества и обязательств;

– стоимость принятого к учету имущества, оказавшегося в излишке по
результатам инвентаризации;

– активы, полученные безвозмездно;

– прочие внереализационные доходы. К чрезвычайным доходам относятся:

– страховые возмещения и покрытия убытков от стихийных бедствий,
пожаров, аварий, других чрезвычайных событий, полученные страховой
организацией из других источников;

– стоимость материальных ценностей, остающихся от списания непригодных к
восстановлению и дальнейшему использованию активов.

При начислении и оплате налогов страховые организации исходят из особого
порядка признания доходов, их классификации и определения
налогооблагаемой базы согласно ст. 293 гл. 25 НК РФ [12, c. 176].

В ходе своей деятельности страховщик несет определенные расходы,
связанные с предоставлением страховой защиты.

В соответствии с Положением по бухгалтерскому учету «Расходы
организации» (ПБУ 10/99), расходами организации признается уменьшение
экономических выгод в результате выбытия активов (денежных средств,
иного имущества) и (или) возникновения обязательств, приводящее к
уменьшению капитала этой организации, за исключением уменьшения вкладов
по решению участников (собственников имущества).

По отношению к основной деятельности, согласно ПБУ 10/99, расходы
страховой организации подразделяются на следующие виды:

– расходы от обычных видов деятельности;

– расходы от прочей деятельности.

В свою очередь, расходы от прочей деятельности, так же как и доходы,
подразделяются на следующие виды:

– операционные расходы;

– внереализационные расходы;

– чрезвычайные расходы.

Основной статьей расходов страховой организации, связанных с исполнением
договоров страхования и сострахования, являются страховые выплаты
(оплаченные убытки). В случаях досрочного прекращения или изменения
договоров страхования и сострахования страховая организация несет
расходы, связанные с возвращением страхователям страховых премий и
выплатой выкупных сумм.

При проведении операций по перестрахованию страховщик несет затраты в
виде перечисления взносов по рискам, переданным в перестрахование,
возмещения доли убытков по рискам, принятым в перестрахование, уплаты
комиссионного вознаграждения и тантьемы.

Следующая по значимости статья расходов — это отчисления в страховые
резервы, предназначенные для исполнения обязательств по договорам
страхования в будущем. Кроме того, страховая организация образует
резервы для финансирования предупредительных мероприятий, на
формирование которых также производит отчисления.

Ведение страхового бизнеса сопровождается соответствующими
административными расходами. У страховщика они называются расходами на
ведение дела. Эта группа расходов составляет значительную долю в общей
сумме расходов страховой организации. В составе расходов на ведение дела
выделяются затраты, имеющие место на любом другом предприятии, и
расходы, отражающие специфику страховой деятельности. К этой группе
расходов относятся прежде всего расходы на ведение дела, необходимые для
осуществления страховых операций:

– комиссионные и брокерские вознаграждения;

– затраты на оплату труда работников страховой организации, занятых
оформлением документации по договорам страхования, и связанные с ними
отчисления на социальные нужды;

– амортизационные отчисления и затраты на ремонт основных средств,
используемых при осуществлении операций по договорам страхования;

– оплата услуг экспертов, сюрвейеров, медицинских учреждений;

– оплата услуг по предоставлению статистических данных.

Расходы на ведение дел страховой компании, не имеющие непосредственного
отношения к. страховой деятельности, включаются в состав операционных
расходов. К таким расходам относятся:

– административно-управленческие расходы;

– представительские расходы;

– затраты по добровольному страхованию своих работников и имущества;

– расходы по содержанию общехозяйственного персонала;

– амортизационные отчисления и расходы на ремонт основных средств
управленческого и общехозяйственного назначения;

– арендная плата за помещения общехозяйственного назначения;

– расходы по оплате информационных, аудиторских, консультационных и иных
услуг.

Инвестиционная деятельность страховых организаций также сопровождается
определенными расходами, не имеющими непосредственного отношения к
основной страховой деятельности. Эти расходы являются частью
операционных расходов и включают в себя:

– затраты, связанные с предоставлением за плату во временное пользование
активов организации;

– расходы, связанные с продажей объекта инвестирования и финансовых
вложений;

– расходы по управлению инвестициями (содержание структурного
подразделения, занятого управлением инвестициями).

Кроме того, к операционным расходам относят:

– вознаграждения состраховщику по договорам сострахования;

– расходы, связанные с оказанием услуг страхового агента, сюрвейера и
аварийного комиссара;

– расходы, понесенные по выставлению регрессивного иска;

– расходы, связанные с продажей основных средств, материальных ценностей
и других активов;

– расходы, связанные с привлечением в аренду активов;

– проценты, уплачиваемые организацией за предоставление в пользование
денежных средств (кредитов, займов);

– причитающиеся к уплате суммы отдельных видов налогов и сборов.

Состав внереализационных и чрезвычайных расходов страховой организации
аналогичен их составу в других нестраховых организациях [27, c. 302].

Расходы страховщика в целом составляют себестоимость страховой услуги.
Величина себестоимости имеет существенное значение при определении
финансового результата по страховым операциям и выявлении
налогооблагаемой базы.

1.2 Финансовые результаты деятельности страховой организации

Определение финансового результата деятельности страховой компании
усложняется из-за специфики и разнообразия предоставляемых ею услуг.
Продукт, «производимый» страховыми организациями, — это финансовая
услуга, суть которой состоит в финансировании риска страхователя, т.е. в
предоставлении определенной суммы денежных средств в случае реализации
данного риска. Деятельность страховщика основана на принципе инверсии.
Слово «инверсия» означает переворот. Инверсия в страховании означает,
что оплата страховой услуги предшествует факту предоставления страховой
защиты. Ответственность страховщика по договору наступает, как правило,
с момента уплаты и инкассации страховой премии, и ее реализация с точки
зрения предстоящих выплат определяется вероятностным характером событий,
принятых на страхование, и временной раскладкой возможного ущерба. Во
многих случаях действие договоров страхования выходит за рамки отчетного
периода. Определенная часть ответственности страховщиков по действующим
договорам переносится на будущие периоды.

Прибыль страховых организаций

В страховании финансовый результат может рассматриваться в двух
аспектах:

– прибыль нормативная, или прибыль в тарифах;

– прибыль как конечный финансовый результат.

Нормативная прибыль заложена в цене страховой услуги при расчете тарифа.
Она представляет собой элемент нагрузки к нетто-ставке тарифа. Это
расчетная прибыль страховщика, планируемая по конкретному виду
страхования. Однако практика проведения страховых операций не всегда
может обеспечить ожидаемый результат. Вероятностный характер рисков,
принимаемых на страхование, обусловливает отклонения фактических
финансовых результатов от расчетной величины [31, c. 352].

Фактическая величина прибыли по виду (отрасли) страхования определяется
на основе сопоставления доходов и расходов, связанных с их получением.
Доходы, расходы текущего характера и определение чистой
(нераспределенной) прибыли страховой организации отражаются в форме
финансовой отчетности «Отчет о прибылях и убытках» (форма № 2).

Величина прибыли как конечного финансового результата деятельности
страховой организации зависит от многих факторов. Их влияние оценивается
в результате анализа финансово-хозяйственной деятельности. На прибыль
страховщика существенное воздействие оказывают результаты его
инвестиционной деятельности. По некоторым рисковым видам страхования
прибыль от инвестиций может быть источником пополнения недостающих
страховых резервов для возмещения убытков. Прибыль от инвестиций служит
страховщику в качестве финансового источника увеличения собственного
капитала и развития страхового дела.

Показатели, характеризующие финансовые результаты деятельности страховой
организации, представляют собой исходную информацию для генерального
менеджмента. Они позволяют выявить малоэффективные и убыточные виды
страхования, и определить направления повышения их эффективности.

Показатели финансовых результатов страховщиков

Наряду с показателями прибыли финансовая деятельность страховой
организации может быть охарактеризована другими показателями. Среди них
выделяются абсолютные и относительные показатели.

К абсолютным относятся следующие показатели объемов предоставленных
услуг.

1. Число заключенных договоров. Этот показатель применяется для
характеристики страхового портфеля и степени охвата страхового поля,
спроса на страховую услугу, определения места страховой организации на
страховом рынке. Данные анализируются в сравнении, в динамике.

2. Страховая сумма застрахованных объектов. Рассматриваются совокупная
величина и средняя страховая сумма на один договор. Данный показатель
характеризует объем ответственности, принимаемой на себя страховщиком.

3. Выплаты страхового возмещения. Показатель характеризует объем
исполненной ответственности и действительный уровень платежеспособности
страховой организации. Выплаты страхового возмещения зависят от
фактической убыточности отчетного года. Наряду с общими суммами выплат
рассчитываются средние показатели. Важным моментом финансового анализа
является определение отклонений фактических размеров выплат от плановых
и установление причин этих отклонений: являются ли они систематическими
или случайными.

4. Объем поступивших страховых платежей (премий). Выражает размер
текущих финансовых средств, которыми располагает страховая организация
для ведения страховой деятельности. Данный показатель определяется в
целом по страховой организации, по отдельным видам страхования и в
расчете на один договор. Анализ объемов поступивших страховых премий
производится в двух аспектах. Во-первых, определяются темпы роста
страховых премий в динамике, свидетельствующие об изменении объемов
страховой деятельности. Во-вторых, объем поступивших страховых премий
сопоставляется со страховыми выплатами.

5. Объемы доходов и расходов. Рассматриваются в динамике. При этом
изучаются состав, структура, факторы увеличения (снижения). Например,
выявляются факторы роста расходов на ведение дела, их зависимость от
изменения численности работающих и средней заработной платы.

6. Объем страховых резервов. Рассматриваются их динамика, состав,
структура ответственности. Данный показатель применяется для оценки
платежеспособности страховой организации.

Относительные показатели, характеризующие финансовые результаты,
включают следующие.

1. Рентабельность. Рассчитывается как в целом по страховой организации,
так и по отдельным видам страхования. Общий показатель рентабельности
определяется двояким образом: как отношение балансовой прибыли к
собственному капиталу или как отношение прибыли от страховой
деятельности к сумме расходов и отчислений по ней. Эти два показателя
являются аналогами применяемых в практике финансового анализа
показателей рентабельности производства и рентабельности продукции. По
отдельным видам страхования рентабельность может быть определена путем
сопоставления прибыли, полученной от соответствующего вида страхования,
со страховой суммой или с величиной поступивших взносов.

Отдельно может быть определена рентабельность инвестиционной
деятельности страховой организации. Она рассчитывается путем отнесения
инвестиционного дохода к сумме страховых резервов.

Рентабельность активов исчисляется на основе сопоставления чистой
прибыли к среднегодовой стоимости активов.

2. Норматив выплат по видам страхования. Сопоставляется норматив выплат,
заложенный в тарифе, с фактическим уровнем выплат, определяемым как
отношение фактических выплат к собранным страховым премиям.

3. Уровень расходов. Сравниваются расходы страховой организации с
объемом собранных страховых премий. Отношение страховых выплат и
расходов на ведение дела к сумме собранных страховых взносов определяет
коэффициент убыточности. Уровень накладных расходов характеризуется
отношением выплаченных комиссионных к общей сумме страховых взносов.

4. Структура прибыли. Определяется на основе сопоставления прибыли от
нестраховой деятельности с прибылью от страховой деятельности.

В мировой практике анализа хозяйственной деятельности страховых компаний
используются различные методики рейтинговой оценки страховых компаний. В
их основе лежат относительные показатели, характеризующие прибыльность и
ликвидность, в частности отношения:

– текущих активов к текущим пассивам;

– денежных средств к текущим пассивам. Этот показатель не является столь
важным для страховых компаний, но его снижение может служить сигналом
для продажи или увеличения инвестиций. Если коэффициент низок, то это
свидетельствует о том, что страховая компания «перевложила» средства;

– страховых премий по рискам, переданным в перестрахование, к общей
сумме страховых премий;

– доли перестраховщиков в погашении ущербов к общей сумме осуществленных
выплат по страховым событиям;

– инвестиционного дохода к величине чистых активов;

– активов к величине собственного капитала. Показывает степень участия
собственных средств в инвестировании страховых компаний;

– обязательств к собственному капиталу. Показывает степень зависимости
страховщика от заемных средств;

– собственного капитала к сумме полученных премий. Показывает уровень
собственной ответственности страховщика по принимаемым рискам.

Этими показателями не исчерпывается арсенал инструментов, используемых
при оценке результатов финансово-хозяйственной деятельности страховых
организаций.

Анализ эффективности финансовой деятельности предполагает сопоставление
фактических результатов, достигнутых в течение определенного периода, с
планируемыми. В этой связи особое внимание уделяется вопросам
финансового планирования, и прежде всего планирования прибыли.
Отечественная практика страхования предусматривает планирование прибыли
лишь при расчете тарифа на страховую услугу и предполагаемых расходов на
продвижение нового страхового продукта.

Зарубежные страховые компании составляют так называемый бюджет,
включающий основные прогнозные показатели по видам страхования. По
своему содержанию бюджет представляет собой проект годового отчета
деятельности страховщика (баланса). Невыполнение статей бюджета и
отклонения фактических финансовых результатов от ожидаемых подвергаются
тщательному анализу с выявлением причин этих отклонений. Исполнение этих
работ является функцией отделов внутреннего аудита страховых компаний.

2. Финансовый анализ деятельности страховой организации (на примере ООО
«Росгосстрах-Поволжье» «Главное управление по Республике Мордовия»)

2.1 Динамика структуры активов и пассивов ООО «Росгосстрах-Поволжье»
«Главное управление по Республике Мордовия»

Финансовые результаты представляют собой прирост (или уменьшение)
стоимости собственного капитала организации, образовавшейся в процессе
ее предпринимательской деятельности за отчетный период. Показатели
финансовых результатов характеризуют абсолютную эффективность
хозяйствования организации.

Финансовый анализ деятельности любой организации невозможно провести без
анализа источников формирования финансовых ресурсов. Поэтому, для начала
необходимо рассмотреть структуру активов предприятия (таблица 2.1).

Таблица 2.1 Структура активов ООО «Росгосстрах-Поволжье» «Главное
управление по Республике Мордовия»

Активы2004200520062007Инвестиции100404160551060-Доля перестраховщиков в
страховых резервах745690005115-Дебиторская задолженность по операциям
страхования, сострахования201033785357661-Дебиторская задолженность по
операциям перестрахования–298-Прочая дебиторская задолженность, платежи
по которой ожидаются более чем через 12 месяцев после отчетной
даты208864561310812853Прочая дебиторская задолженность, платежи по
которой ожидаются в течении 12 месяцев после отчетной
даты28701750073046477104Основные средства888313788138629810Незавершенное
строительство599—Отложенные налоговые
активы—113Запасы546174371004811202Налог на добавленную стоимость по
приобретенным ценностям118932—Денежные
средства6364688861493048БАЛАНС18259629803546194844130

Наибольшую долю в балансе в 2004гг. имел налог на добавленную стоимость.
Он составлял 65% итога активов. В 2005 и 2006гг. большую долю активов
составляла прочая дебиторская задолженность, платежи по которым
ожидается в течении 12 месяцев после отчетной даты. Ее доля
соответственно составляла 59% и 66%. В 2007г. нельзя выделить какую-либо
статью активов как преобладающую.

Изменение величины инвестиций происходило неравномерно. В 2004 году их
величина составила 10040 тыс. руб. В 2005г. величина инвестиций,
числящихся на балансе рассматриваемой организации возросла на 31565 тыс.
руб., то есть чуть больше чем в 4 раза, или на 314%. В 2006г. увеличение
данного актива продолжилось, хотя и не такими высокими темпами. По
сравнению с 2005г., инвестиции на балансе организации выросли до 51060
тыс. руб. Доля инвестиций в общем объеме активов за весь рассматриваемый
период не превышала 14%. Заметим, для страховой организации значение
данного показателя является достаточно низким.

Доля перестраховщиков в страховых резервах росли в период с 2004 по
2005гг. с 7456 тыс. руб. до 9000 тыс. руб. А в 2006г. их величина вновь
упала до 5115 тыс. руб. Доля данного показателя в общем объеме активов
весь период оставалась на уровне 4%-5%, и лишь в 2006г. она снизилась до
1%.

За весь период быстрыми темпами увеличивалась дебиторская задолженность
по операциям страхования, сострахования. В 2004г. она составила 20103
тыс. руб. В следующие два года рост дебиторской задолженности по
операциям страхования и сострахования шел достаточно высокими темпами. В
2005г. задолженность возросла на 88% (что составило 17750 тыс. руб.), и
на 52% в 2006г. На конец 2006г. данный показатель имел значение в 57661
тыс. руб. Так же росла и прочая дебиторская задолженность, платежи по
которой ожидаются более чем через 12 месяцев после отчетной даты. В
первый год рассматриваемого периода данная задолженность составляла 2088
тыс. руб. В последующие годы рост имел высокие темпы. В 2005г. прочая
дебиторская задолженность, платежи по которой ожидаются более чем через
12 месяцев после отчетной даты, уже составляла 6456 тыс. руб., в 2006г.
возросла более чем в 2 раза и составила 13108 тыс. руб. Лишь в 2007г.
было замечено небольшое снижение на 255 тыс. руб. Прочая дебиторская
задолженность, платежи по которой ожидаются в течении 12 месяцев после
отчетной даты стала в последние годы самым крупным активом, который
числится на балансе филиала ООО «Росгосстрах-Поволжье» . В 2004гг.
данный вид дебиторской задолженности не отличался высоким значениями.
Всего 2870 тыс. руб. Но уже в 2005г. данный показатель оставил 175007
тыс. руб., а в 2006г. данная дебиторская задолженность увеличилась еще
на 74% и составила 304647 тыс. руб. Однако в 2007г. прочая дебиторская
задолженность, платежи по которой ожидаются в течении 12 месяцев после
отчетной даты, сократилась на 97%. Ее значение снизилось до 7104 тыс.
руб., но ее доля в общем объеме активов филиала ООО
«Росгосстрах-Поволжье» осталось достаточно заметной, порядка 16%.
Изменение объема основных средств проходило таким же образом. Рост с
8883 тыс. руб. в 2004г. до 13862 тыс. руб. в 2006г. и снижение в 2007г.
до 9810 тыс. руб. До 2007г. доля основных средств в общем объеме активов
не превышала 5%. В 2007г. данный показатель составил 22%. Основные
средства стали одним из активов, составивших большую часть всех активов
ООО «Росгосстрах-Поволжье» «Главное управление по Республике Мордовия»
в 2007г.

Запасы росли весь рассматриваемый период. В 2005г. по сравнению с
предыдущим годом, объем запасов возрос на 1976 тыс. руб. В 2006г запасы
возросли на 35%, по сравнению с предыдущим годом. А в 2007г. произошло
увеличение всего на 11%. Налог на добавленную стоимость по приобретенным
ценностям присутствует в балансе только за 2004г. В этот год данная
величина является наибольшей из всех активов, ее величина составляла
118932 тыс. руб. Денежные средства наоборот снижались весь период. В
2005г. произошел незначительный рост на 524 тыс. руб. Уже в 2006г. объем
денежных средств снизился ниже отметки 2004-го года, и составил 6149
тыс. руб. А в 2007г. они достигли своего наименьшего значения в 3048
тыс. руб. Данный анализ структуры активов является экспресс-анализом,
так как были рассмотрены лишь крупные статьи активов.

Основным источником дохода страховой компании должна быть инвестиционная
деятельность. Поэтому необходимо произвести анализ соответствующих
абсолютных показателей (таблица 2.2).

Таблица 2.2 Состав инвестиционных активов ООО «Росгосстрах-Поволжье»
«Главное управление по Республике Мордовия»

АКТИВКод200420052006инвестиции120100404160551060в том числефинансовые
вложения в дочерние, зависимые общества и другие
организации130100402060516560в том числеакции дочерних и зависимых
обществ131101101101вклады в уставные (складочные) капиталы дочерних и
зависимых обществ133400–акции других организаций134745374537043долговые
ценные бумаги других организаций и предоставленные им
займы1352051130519416вклады в уставные (складочные) капиталы других
организаций13635–иные инвестиции140-2100034500в том числе депозиты в
банках142-2100034500

Как можно увидеть из таблицы, за последние годы наблюдается тенденция к
росту инвестиционных активов. Суммарная разница с 2004 по 2006 возросла
на 41020 тыс.р. и на конец рассматриваемого периода составила 51060
тыс.р. А вот массовая доля инвестиций в общем объеме активов оказалась
нестабильной. Наглядно это представлено на рисунке 2.1

Проведем анализ структуры инвестиционных активов. Как видно из рисунка
2.2, состав данной группы активов так же не отличался стабильностью. В
2004г. большую часть инвестиций составляли акции других организаций. А
вот в 2005г. и 2006г. основу инвестиций составляют банковские депозиты.

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000

Рисунок 2.1 – Массовая доля инвестиций в общем объеме активов ООО
«Росгосстрах-Поволжье» «Главное управление по Республике Мордовия»

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Рисунок 2.2 Структура инвестиционных активов ООО «Росгосстрах-Поволжье»
«Главное управление по Республике Мордовия»

Управляя вложениями с позиции возвратности и доходности, в 2006 году
существенная часть активов была переведена из вложений в государственные
ценные бумаги, акции и иные инструменты других организаций в депозиты в
банках. Нужно отметить, что это в первую очередь объясняется их большей
доходностью, а также способствует развитию бизнеса в области страхования
тех отраслей экономики, чья деятельность, прежде всего, связана с
банковскими заимствованиями и посредническими услугами.

Все это говорит нам о снижении инвестиционной активности компании на
мордовском рынке. Руководство компании предпочитает отдать средства в
банк под процент, чем вкладывать их в перспективные проекты. Хотя
мировая практика показывает, что основным источником дохода должны быть
именно инвестиции. Это не только приносит высокую прибыль, но и является
неплохим стимулированием экономики, хотя и довольно рискованно.

Подводя итог всему выше сказанному, можно отметить, что финансовое
положение организации нельзя назвать благополучным. Денежные средства
имеют тенденцию к снижению объемов, инвестиции компании достаточно
нестабильны. По моему мнению, организация должна больше времени уделять
инвестиционной политике, использованию собственных средств в
стратегически важных для организации направлениях.

Собственные средства организации состоят из уставного, добавочного и
резервного капиталов, фондов потребления и накопления, а также
нераспределенной прибыли. Эти средства, оставшиеся у общества после
осуществления обязательных платежей в бюджет, выплат собственникам и
стимулирования работников, могут использоваться на дальнейшее развитие,
а также служат гарантией устойчивости общества и способности выполнять
свои обязательства. Поскольку данные ресурсы, как правило, свободны от
конкретных обязательств, определенная их часть также может быть вложена
в сравнительно долгосрочные и менее ликвидные виды инвестиций. А это
особенно важно в условиях значительного снижения инвестиционной
активности компании.

2.2 Анализ финансовых результатов деятельности ООО
«Росгосстрах-Поволжье» «Главное управление по Республике Мордовия»

Финансовый анализ деятельности страховой организации, как было отмечено
выше, проводится в два этапа. Анализ абсолютных и относительных
показателей.В качестве абсолютных показателей рассмотрим динамику
доходов и расходов филиала ООО «Росгосстрах-Поволжье». Для начала
проанализируем результат от операций по страхованию жизни. Данные
представлены в таблице 2.3.

Таблица 2.3 Динамика доходов и расходов ООО «Росгосстрах-Поволжье»
«Главное управление по Республике Мордовия» по страхованию жизни.

Наименование показателяКод2004200520062007Страховые премии
(взносы)01025819332571122611226Доходы по
инвестициям0201450138998939893Выплаты по договорам
страхования03016169223901947819478Изменение резервов по страхованию
жизни040-11699-1386416941694Расходы по ведению страховых операций –
нетто перестрахование05039994174491491затраты по заключению договоров
страхования05121621702463463прочие расходы по ведению страховых
операций052183724722828Расходы по инвестициям060–93669366Результат от
операций по страхованию жизни070-4598-5782-6522-6522

Основной доходной статьей по страхованию жизни являются страховые премии
по страхованию жизни. В 2004г. сумма премий составила 25819 тыс. руб. В
2005г. рост премий по страхованию жизни продолжился. На этот раз данная
сумма возросла на 29%. В абсолютном значении данная величина составила
33257 тыс. руб. В последующие годы наблюдается снижение поступлений
премий. Уже в 2006г. их значение составило 11226 тыс. руб. (на 66%
меньше, чем в 2005г.). В 2007г. сумма премий по страхованию жизни не
изменилось. Оно так же составило 11226 тыс. руб. В общей сложности, в
период с 2004г. по 2007г. сумма премий по страхованию жизни изменилась
всего на 22%.

Следующей статьей дохода являются доходы по инвестициям. Их величина в
2004г. составила 1450 тыс. руб. В 2005г. объем данного вида доходов
снизился. Уменьшение произошло на 61 тыс. руб. В следующем году
произошло резкое увеличение данного показателя на 612%, или на 8504 тыс.
руб. В 2007г. данное значение так же не изменилось. В общей сложности,
доходы по инвестициям возросли на 8443 тыс. руб., или на 518% (с 1450
тыс. руб. в 2004г, до 9893 тыс. руб. в 2007г.).

В 2004г. доходы по инвестициям на 100% состояли из процентов к
получению. В 2005г. их доля сократилась до 16%, остальное составили
доходы от участия в других организациях. В 2006 и 2007гг. доля процентов
к получению, в общей массе доходов по инвестициям составляли 5%.

Расходы ООО «Росгосстрах-Поволжье» «Главное управление по Республике
Мордовия» в страховании жизни складываются из выплат по договорам
страхования, расходов по ведению страховых операций и расходов по
инвестициям.

Выплаты по договорам страхования в 2004г. составили 16169 тыс. руб. В
2005г. объем выплат продолжал увеличиваться, и достиг значения 22390
тыс. руб., таким образом он возрос на 6221 тыс. руб. В следующем году
количество выплат снизилось на 13%. В 2007г. данный показатель не
изменился, по сравнению с 2006г. и остался на уровне 19478 тыс. руб.
Расходы по ведению страховых операций в 2004г. имели величину в 3999
тыс. руб. В 2005г. сумма расходов по ведению страховых операций
продолжали расти. Они возросли на 175 тыс. руб., или на 4%, и составили
4174 тыс. руб. В 2006 и 2007гг. наблюдается резкое снижение данного вида
расходов до 491 тыс. руб. Данное снижение можно расценить двояко. С
одной стороны – снижение расходов, с другой – столь сильное снижение
расходов на ведение страховых операций можно расценить как снижение
деловой активности компании.

Расходы на ведение страховых операций состоят из двух статей: затраты по
заключению договоров страхования, и прочие расходы по ведению страховых
операций. Для большей наглядности отобразим необходимые данные в виде
графика (рисунок 2.3)

picscalex850100090000031e4800000a001610000000001610000026060f002220574d4
643010000000000010085cc0000000004000000002000001041000010610000010000006
c000000120000001e000000da010000070100000000000000000000d13b0000152100002
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c00000020000000454d462b014001001c000000100000000210c0db01000000600000006
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c00000000000000244001000c000000000000003040020010000000040000000000803f2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a00360069001e00690092004a00aa005600000030000000690000001e000000da0100009
2000000050000006900920069001e00da011e00da019200690092001d000000180000006
3000000dd0000008601000007010000260000001c0000000100000000000000000000000
000000000000000250000000c000000010000001b000000100000004a000000aa0000001
90000000c000000ffffff00120000000c000000010000003600000010000000690000009
20000003600000010000000da010000920000001b000000100000004a000000930000003
600000010000000690000007b0000003600000010000000da0100007b0000001b0000001
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a010000640000001b000000100000004a000000640000003600000010000000690000004
c0000003600000010000000da0100004c0000001b000000100000004a0000004d0000003
60000001000000069000000350000003600000010000000da010000350000001b0000001
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a0100001e000000250000000c00000007000080250000000c00000000000080220000000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50000000c00000008000080190000000c00000000000000180000000c000000000000001
e000000180000000500000005000000e50100000a010000260000001c000000010000000
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54d462b2a40000024000000180000000000803f00000080000000800000803f000000800
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84001033c000000300000000210c0db04000000000000000000a7420080234300802f430
080234300803c43008019430000c14200801943000101811440010010000000040000000
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500000024000000240000000000803d00000000000000000000803d00000000000000000
20000005e000000740000000200000000000000240000003000000054000000200000000
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000000000000000ffffff000000000081000000420000002400000018000000080000000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840000120000000140000000210c0db0100000026000000000000ffbfbfbfff084002033
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800000008000000080000000100010000000000200000000000000000000000000000000
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200000001000000250000000c00000002000000130000000c00000001000000250000000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8000000620000000c000000010000004b000000100000000000000005000000240000002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210c0db040000000000000000802f4300802343004086430080234300408c43008019430
0803c4300801943000101811440020010000000040000000000000021000000080000006
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50000000c00000002000000130000000c00000001000000250000000c000000080000805
60000002c000000af0000009900000018010000a300000004000000f00a300ac010300a8
0119009c00b9009250000000c00000001000000130000000c00000001000000250000000
c00000005000080240000002400000000008041000000000000000000008041000000000
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c00000010000000454d462b044000000c00000000000000220000000c000000ffffffff2
50000000c000000050000805600000030000000af0000009900000018010000a30000000
5000000af00a3000c01a30018019900bc009900af00a300250000000c000000050000802
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210c0db0100000026000000000000ffbfbfbfff084001033c000000300000000210c0db0
40000000000000000802f430000e34200803c430000cf4200408c430000e542004086430
000f74200010181144001001000000004000000000000002100000008000000620000000
c000000010000004b00000010000000000000000500000024000000240000000000803d0
0000000000000000000803d0000000000000000020000005e00000074000000020000000
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1000100000000002000000000000000000000000000000000000000bfbfbf00000000008
100000042000000240000001800000008000000040000000200000001000000250000000
c00000002000000130000000c00000001000000250000000c00000008000080560000002
c000000af00000067000000180100007b00000004000000f00a1007c00b700680112007c
010b007250000000c00000001000000130000000c00000001000000250000000c0000000
500008024000000240000000000804100000000000000000000804100000000000000000
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c000000050000805600000030000000af00000067000000180100007b00000005000000a
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800000046000000a000000094000000454d462b2a40000024000000180000000000803f0
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50000000c00000001000000130000000c00000001000000250000000c000000050000802
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80000000c00000002000000220000000c000000ffffffff460000001c000000100000004
54d462b044000000c00000000000000220000000c000000ffffffff250000000c0000000
50000805600000030000000af00000038000000180100004600000005000000af004600b
c003c00180138000c014200af004600250000000c0000000500008021000000080000004
6000000a000000094000000454d462b2a40000024000000180000000000803f000000800
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6000000000000ffffffffff084001033c000000300000000210c0db04000000000000000
0408643008023430040b4430080234300c0ba430080194300408c4300801943000101811
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000000000000000000000000000000000000000ffffff000000000081000000420000002
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30000000c00000001000000250000000c00000008000080560000002c0000000c0100009
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50100009800000004000000c010b007801120075017f00880168009250000000c0000000
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00000000c010000720000007501000098000000050000000c017b001801720075018f006
80198000c017b00250000000c00000005000080210000000800000046000000a00000009
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00000000000000000000000bfbfbf0000000000880000004400000022000000110000008
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00000000000000000008041000000000000000002000000280000000c000000020000002
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100000000000000040000000020000010210000106100006801a300c401a300d10199007
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000000000000020280000000800000008000000010001000000000020000000000000000
00000000000000000000000bfbfbf0000000000810000004200000024000000180000000
8000000040000000200000001000000250000000c00000002000000130000000c0000000
1000000250000000c00000008000080560000002c000000680100008f000000d10100009
800000004000000801680095017f008101df008401c8009250000000c000000010000001
30000000c00000001000000250000000c000000050000802400000024000000000080410
00000000000000000008041000000000000000002000000280000000c000000020000002
20000000c000000ffffffff460000001c00000010000000454d462b044000000c0000000
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80100008f000000d101000098000000050000006801980075018f00d1018f00c40198006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Рисунок 2.3 Динамика структуры расходов на ведение страховых операций
ООО «Росгосстрах-Поволжье» «Главное управление по Республике Мордовия»

Как можно заметить на рисунке, структура расходов на ведение дела не
отличалась стабильностью. В 2004г. разница между прочими расходами по
ведению страховых операций и затратами по заключению договоров
страхования была весомой. Прочие расходы составляли 1873 тыс. руб., а
затраты по заключению договоров – 2162 тыс. руб. Это соответствует 46% и
54%. В 2005г. ситуация меняется. На этот раз большую часть расходов
составляют прочие расходы (2472 тыс. руб. – 59%), а меньшую – затраты на
заключение договоров (1702 тыс. руб. – 41%). В 2006 и 2007гг. большую
долю расходов на ведение страховых операций составляли затраты по
заключению договоров страхования (94%). Прочие расходы по ведению
страховых операций снизились до крайне низкой отметки в 28 тыс. руб.
(6%).

Следующая статья расходов в группе страхования жизни – расходы по
инвестициям. Данный вид расходов присутствует лишь в 2006 и 2007гг. и
его величина равна 9366 тыс. руб. Изменение резервов по страхованию
жизни может относится как к доходам, так и к расходам. Зависит это от
того, с каким знаком произошли изменения. Если происходит увеличение
размера резерва по страхованию жизни, то изменение учитывается со знаком
«+», и статья считается доходом. Если произошло уменьшение – то
учитывается со знаком «?», и считается расходом. В 2004г. резерв по
страхованию жизни снизился до -11699 тыс. руб., а в следующем году он
составил -13864 тыс. руб. В 2006 и 2007гг. резерв по страхованию жизни
увеличился на 1694 тыс. руб. и данное изменение было учтено как доход.
Следующая группа показателей – это показатели по страхованию иному, чем
страхование жизни. Необходимые данные занесем в таблицу (таблица 2.4)
Страховые премии по страхованию иному, чем страхование жизни, в 2004г.
имели величину 320013 тыс. руб. А в 2005г. данный показатель увеличился
и составил 393086 тыс. руб. На этом доходы по данной группе показателей
заканчиваются. Теперь рассмотрим расходы.

Общая тенденция к увеличению наблюдается у состоявшихся убытков. В
2004г. величина убытков составила 151833 тыс. руб. В следующем году
наблюдается некоторое снижение. Убыток снизился на 16% и составил 127940
тыс. руб. В 2006-2007гг. данный показатель вновь вырос на 38% (или на
49152 тыс. руб.). В общей сложности, состоявшиеся убытки, в период с
2004 по 2007гг., выросли 25259 тыс. руб.

Таблица 2.4 Динамика доходов и расходов ООО «Росгосстрах-Поволжье»
«Главное управление по Республике Мордовия» по страхованию иному, чем
страхование жизни.

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Выплаты по договорам страхования так же стабильно возрастали за весь
период. В 2005г. по сравнению с 2004г. выплаты увеличились на 9%. А в
2006-2007гг. показатель возрос на 29231 тыс. руб. Отчисления от
страховых премий не принимали высоких значений. Сумма данных отчислений
повышалась с 3671 тыс. руб. в 2004г., до 4255 тыс. руб. в 2005. Общий
объем расходов по ведению страховых операций имел тенденцию к росту в
2004-2005г.г., когда они достигли своего максимума в 72760 тыс. руб.
Отдельная группа показателей – изменение резервов. Подведем итог по
данной группе показателей, проведя анализ результата от операций по
страхованию иному, чем страхование жизни.

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d00040000000201010010000000320a4600aa01060000003234303537380700060006000
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d010500050000000102ffffff0005000000090200000000040000002c010000070000001
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100040000002d010200040000002d010000040000002d010300040000002701ffff03000
0001e00040000002d010100040000002d010400040000002d010500050000000102fffff
f0005000000090200000000040000002c0100000700000016043501e1010000000004000
0002d010200040000002d010000040000002d010300040000002701ffff030000001e000
40000002d010100040000002d010400040000002d010500050000000102ffffff0005000
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d00040000000201010010000000320af7002d00060000002d35303030300400070006000
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03006000700060006000700060010000000320a75002b000600000031353030303006000
700060006000700060010000000320a55002b00060000003230303030300600070006000
6000700060010000000320a34002b0006000000323530303030060007000600060007000
60010000000320a14002b000600000033303030303006000700060006000700060004000
0002d010200040000002d010000040000002d010300040000002701ffff030000001e000
40000002d010100040000002d010400040000002d010500050000000102ffffff0005000
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b02f2ff0000840384039001000000cc0010001054696d6573204e657720526f6d616e000
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700000016042d01d20116010e00040000002d010200040000002d010000040000002d010
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3000700080007000a0007000300030008000600090004000600050007000700050007000
700060007000800060003000a000700050008000700040000002d010200040000002d010
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c0100000700000016042d01d20116010e00040000002d010200040000002d01000004000
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700000016043501e10100000000040000002d010200040000002d010000040000002d010
300040000002701ffff030000001e00040000002d010100040000002d010500040000002
d010700050000000102ffffff0005000000090200000000040000002c010000070000001
6043501e1010000000007000000fc020000000000000000040000002d01080004000000f
0010500040000002d01020004000000f0010700040000002d010300040000002701ffff0
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0001e00050000000102ffffff0005000000090200000000040000002701ffff030000000
000

Рисунок 2.4 Динамика результата от операций ООО «Росгосстрах-Поволжье»
«Главное управление по Республике Мордовия» по страхованию иному, чем
страхование жизни.

В данной группе показателей, результат от операций оказался
положительным, начиная с 2004г. По графику видно, что результат по
данному виду операций весь рассматриваемый период рос достаточно
высокими темпами.

Перейдем к следующей группе абсолютных показателей. В него включены
прочие доходы и расходы, и итоговые показатели.

Таблица 2.5 Прочие доходы и расходы ООО «Росгосстрах-Поволжье»
«Главное управление по Республике Мордовия»

picscalex750100090000039b37000007001610000000001610000026060f002220574d4
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00300007c0100001d01000000000000000000000000000060cc050048590400460000002
c00000020000000454d462b014001001c000000100000000210c0db01000000600000006
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c00000000000000244001000c000000000000003040020010000000040000000000803f2
14007000c00000000000000044000000c00000000000000180000000c000000000000001
90000000c000000ffffff00140000000c0000000d000000120000000c000000020000002
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fffffff0a0000001000000000000000000000002100000008000000190000000c000000f
fffff00180000000c00000000000000220000000c000000ffffffff21000000080000001
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c000000ffffff00180000000c000000000000001e0000001800000000000000000000001
3020000ab000000220000000c000000ffffffff2100000008000000190000000c000000f
fffff00180000000c000000000000001e00000018000000010000000100000013020000a
b000000270000001800000001000000000000000080000000000000250000000c0000000
1000000180000000c00000000800000190000000c00000000800000140000000c0000000
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0000000000000000000803f00000000000000000000803f0000000000000000000000000
000000000000000000000000000000000000000250000000c000000020000001b0000001
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000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000250000000
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000000000000000250000000c000000020000001b00000010000000f9000000150000003
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000000000000000000000000000000000000000250000000c000000020000001b0000001
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000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000250000000
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100f00000000000000002009802ac000100040000002d010100050000001402d70001000
50000001302d7009902040000002d0102000c00000040092100f00000000000000002009
802d7000100040000002d01030004000000f0010600040000002d010400040000002701f
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40000002c010000070000001604d900980201000100040000002701ffff030000000000

Доходы по инвестициям появились лишь в 2005г. Их сумма составила 67 тыс.
руб. В следующем году величина дохода по инвестициям снизилась до 9 тыс.
руб.

Управленческие расходы ежегодно росли достаточно высокими темпами. В
первый год рассматриваемого периода, данный вид расходов составил 47904
тыс. руб. В 2005г. они возросли еще на 19543 тыс. руб. В 2006-2007гг.
управленческие расходы достигли максимальной величины в 125342 тыс. руб.

Прочие доходы, кроме доходов, связанных с инвестициями на 63%
увеличились в 2005г. В 2006-2007гг. объем прочих доходов снизился на
2137 тыс. руб.

Если рост предыдущего показателя имел положительный эффект, то рост
прочих расходов – является отрицательным показателем. Их величина росла
на протяжении всего периода. Сумма возросла с 5137 тыс. руб. в 2004г.,
до 9103 тыс. руб. в 2007г.

В первый год, до налогообложения, общий результат деятельности
рассматриваемой компании являлся убытком. В 2004г. он составил 4106 тыс.
руб. 2005г. филиал ООО «Росгосстрах-Поволжье» закончил уже с прибылью.
Она составила 41191 тыс. руб. В последующие годы данная величина
возросла еще на 810%.

Чистая прибыльимеет аналогичную динамику.

На основе только что рассмотренных данных рассчитаем первый из
относительных показателей – коэффициент убыточности (таблица 2.6)

В первый год рассматриваемого периода коэффициент убыточности составил
0,22. На следующий год данный коэффициент снижается, что является
положительным показателем. Однако в 2006г. уровень убыточности достигает
значения 5,28, который сохраняется и в 2007 году.

Таблица 2.6 Расчет коэффициента убыточности ООО «Росгосстрах-Поволжье»
«Главное управление по Республике Мордовия»

Показатель2004200520062007Всего выплат151340169805196124196124Расходы по
ведению страховых операций по страхованию жизни39994174491491Расходы по
ведению страховых операций по страхованию, иному чем страхование
жизни72034727605881758817Сумма выплат и расходов на ведение
дела76033769345930859308Всего премий3458324263431122611226Коэффициент
убыточности0,220,185,285,28

Следующий относительный показатель – общая рентабельность. Расчеты
проведем при помощи нижеследующей таблицы. (таблица 2.7)

Колебания собственного капитала и прибыли отобразим на графике (рисунок
2.5).

Таблица 2.7 Расчет общей рентабельности ООО «Росгосстрах-Поволжье»
«Главное управление по Республике Мордовия»

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На графике видно, как в 2005г. и в 2007г. собственный капитал оказался
отрицательным. Но если в 2005г. его величина была не столь низка, то в
2007г. она составила -366105 тыс. руб. А это на 447176 тыс. руб. ниже,
чем максимальное значение данного показателя. Нельзя не заметить, что
прибыль организации с каждым последующим годом только увеличивается.
Если в 2004г. ее сумма достигла рекордно низкой отметки в 4106 тыс.
руб., то в последующие два года величина прибыли только росла. А в
2007г. ее значение осталось на уровне предыдущего года. Это является
положительным моментом, ведь прибыль – наиболее важный показатель
деятельности организации, который в условиях рыночной экономики
составляет основу экономического развития любой организации.

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600000032303030303007000600060007000600060010000000320a4b002f00060000003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Рисунок 2.5 – Динамика собственного капитала и прибыли
ООО «Росгострах-Поволжье» «Главное управление по Республике Мордовия»

В 2004г. рентабельность составила лишь 0,05. Причина столь низкого
значения заключается в резко снизившейся прибыли, и увеличении
вложенного собственного капитала. 2006г. стал самым благоприятным для
филиала ООО «Росгосстрах-Поволжье». Уровень рентабельности возрос до
6,11. Объем прибыли был на достаточно высоком уровне, также уменьшение
собственного капитала, по сравнению с 2004г., позволило прибыли поднять
рентабельность достаточно высоко. Ситуацию, сложившуюся в 2005 и 2007гг.
можно назвать, разве что, катастрофой. Произошло снижение собственного
капитала до отрицательных значений. Вследствие чего рентабельность упала
до невероятно низкой отметки в -1,03 и -1,02 соответственно.

По проведенному анализу финансового состояния страховой компании ООО
«Росгосстрах-Поволжье» «Главное управление по Республике Мордовия»
можно сделать вывод о неудовлетворительном результате их деятельности.
После проведенной реструктуризации компании в 2003г., финансовое
положения их временно улучшилось. Увеличились рентабельность, активы,
собственный капитал и прибыль компании, снизились убыточность и размер
обязательств. Однако в 2006г. компания понесла огромные убытки,
вследствие чего финансовые результаты за 2007 год оказались
отрицательными. Руководство ОАО «Росгосстрах» не могло не отреагировать
на подобное положение вещей, и в этом году компания вновь подвергается
реструктуризации.

3. Финансово-экономические и организационные аспекты улучшения
финансового состояния страховой организации

3.1 Совершенствование методики оценки результатов деятельности и
текущего финансового состояния страховых компаний

Деятельность страховых компаний существенно отличается от других видов
предпринимательской деятельности. Основным отличием страхового бизнеса,
является стремление страховой компании принимать на себя риски различных
субъектов хозяйствования. При этом наиболее важным аспектом ведения
страхового бизнеса является способность компании объективно оценивать и
управлять рисками. Существует непосредственная связь между рисками,
принимаемыми страховой компанией (страховыми рисками), и рисками
присущими ведению страховой деятельности.

В условиях усиливающейся конкуренции на рынке страховых услуг, возникает
объективная необходимость адекватной оценки деятельности страховых
компаний, анализа их инвестиционной привлекательности, и степени
надежности. Объективный анализ позволит определить лидеров и аутсайдеров
Российского рынка страховых услуг, что является достаточно важным при
всестороннем расширении спектра видов страхования, предлагаемых
страховыми компаниями.

Рейтинги страховых компаний, публикуемые периодическими изданиями
России, как правило, основаны на ранжировании страховых компаний по
общему объему активов, величине балансовой прибыли, оплаченному
уставному фонду и т.д. Подобный подход к ранжированию страховых компаний
не отражает реального финансового состояния компаний. В условиях
стремительно развивающегося рынка страховых услуг, контрагентам и
потенциальным инвесторам страховых компаний важно иметь представление о
текущем финансовом состоянии компании, прогнозах ее будущей
деятельности.

Существующие методики оценки финансового состояния, применяемые для
анализа деятельности торговых, производственных, банковских и других
предприятий, в силу специфики страховой деятельности неприменимы для
анализа страховых компаний.

Проведение анализа деятельности страховой компании невозможно без
анализа страхового портфеля, оценки достаточности капитала компании и
сформированных резервов. При расчете нормативных показателей
платежеспособности страховой компании, определенных в законе России “Об
организации страхового дела” делается ряд допущений, которые могут
оказывать критическое влияние на результат, и проводится не достаточно
глубокая оценка финансовых потоков страховой компании. А именно
детальная оценка запаса платежеспособности позволяет оценить риск
банкротства страховой компании.

Анализ страховой компании может проводиться со стороны инвестора, либо
страхователя. И в том и в другом случае анализируется степень надежности
страховой компании. В случае оценки страховщика со стороны страхователя
надежность компании сводится к риску исполнения страховщиком взятых на
себя обязательств. При оценке страховой компании со стороны
потенциального инвестора, надежность компании анализируется с позиции
инвестиционного риска. В обоих случаях наступление рискового случая,
неспособность страховщика исполнить принятые на себя обязательства,
ведет к потере либо инвестиционных вложений, либо страховых платежей.
Страховые платежи в общем случае меньше чем инвестиционные вложения,
однако, при этом страхователь получает дополнительный ущерб от
наступления рискового случая, риски по которому перекладывались на
страховую компанию.

И в том и другом случае, при проведении анализа, значительную роль
играют такие факторы как репутация страховщика на рынке страховых услуг,
квалификация персонала, динамика роста доходов, рентабельность, качество
и степень диверсифицированности страхового портфеля. Ключевым фактором,
при проведении анализа, является достаточность ликвидных активов и
наличие надежных программ перестрахования, а также уровень достаточности
собственного капитала (собственных активов в т.ч. ликвидных). Целью
анализа, проводимого с позиции определения инвестиционной
привлекательности страховщика, является оценка уровня рентабельности
инвестиционных проектов. Далее изложенный материал касается проведения
анализа финансового состояния страховой компании, при подготовке
инвестиционных проектов, а также при оценке результатов текущей
деятельности и перспектив изменения финансового состояния действующей
компании со стороны инвесторов.

Наличие программ перестрахования необходимо оценивать со стороны
достаточности применения перестрахования. Из-за отсутствия объективной
(небалансовой) информации крайне сложно оценить риск надежности
страховых компаний, в которых были перестрахованы риски. При этом
степень приемлемости страховых сумм, необходимо оценивать исходя из
собственных средств страховой компании, а также резервов (в том числе и
резервов не заработанных премий). Чем больше страховая сумма
собственного удержания, тем больше риск, принимаемый на себя страховой
компанией, и тем больше должна быть сумма средств, которые покрывают
этот риск. Средства, покрывающие риск, страховой компании состоят из
технических резервов и собственных средств. В идеальном варианте, риск
должен покрываться суммами резервов.

Говоря, что адекватность страховых тарифов необходимо рассматривать
совместно с величиной средств, являющихся гарантией исполнения
страховщиком страховых обязательств, подразумевается адекватность
величины увеличения нетто-тарифов за принимаемый на себя компанией риск,
уровню риска, связанному с неблагоприятным отклонением относительной
частоты наступления страхового случая. С одной стороны такая рисковая
надбавка через резервы заработанных премий переносится на собственный
капитал компании, с другой стороны наличие достаточного объема средств,
для покрытия рисков может позволить страховой компании пренебречь
рисковой надбавкой (либо снизить ее), и в стремлении к укреплению
позиции на рынке страховых услуг, снизить тарифы. Демпинговые тарифы в
этом случае могут быть адекватны уровню принимаемого риска, если риск
покрывается другими средствами, которыми располагает страховая компания.

Представляя выше описанное в формулах, имеем:

Тариф страховой компании:
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(1)

где M(Y) — математическое ожидание страховых премий, L — рисковая
надбавка.

Всегда существует вероятность банкротства страховой компании, которая в
общем случае равна:
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, (2)

где U — капитал СК, Y — страховые выплаты.

Таким образом, одним из основных моментов, при проведении анализа
является вопрос о приемлемости вероятности банкротства страховой
компании. Для разрешения этого вопроса в общих теориях риск-менеджмента
предлагается использовать теорию полезности, которая предполагает
построение функции полезности для конкретного субъекта хозяйствования. В
этом случае возникшая дилемма с вероятностью банкротства страховой
компании может быть представлена как:
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, (3)

что выражает равенство ожидания полезности капитала страховщика в
процессе осуществления страховых операций и первоначальной полезности
капитала. В противном случае деятельность страховой компании невозможна.

На основании вышеприведенного равенства, можно оценить приемлемость
вероятности банкротства страховщика, которая является основным критерием
уровня платежеспособности компании.

Такой подход, основанный на классической теории риск-менеджмента, сложно
применим на практике. Основной сложностью является определение функции
полезности. Объективная функция полезности не может быть описана в виде
математического выражения. Построение функции полезности является
сложным и трудоемким процессом, причем часто функция может не
соответствовать действительному отношению субъекта хозяйствования к
риску.

Для определения вероятности банкротства страховой компании, в практике
актуарных расчетов используется модель Крамера-Лундберга. В общем случае
(число страховых выплат за временной промежуток (0, t) описывается
распределением Пуассона) модель имеет следующий вид:
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 , (4)

где Ф(х) — вероятность банкротства страховой компании; И — коэффициент
нагрузки за принимаемый на себя страховщиком риск, рассчитывается как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, где П(t) — платежи, собранные в момент времени t; ЕХ(t) — ожидаемые
страховые выплаты в момент времени t, х — начальный капитал компании, m
— математическое ожидание страховых выплат.

В практическом использовании, имея базовые характеристики страхового
портфеля и общего финансового состояния компании можно определить
вероятность банкротства страховой компании.

Приемлемость той или иной вероятности банкротства, будем оценивать,
используя кривую безразличия.

Кривая безразличия будет иметь следующий вид (рисунок 3.1).

picscalex8501000900000365be02000000ef5d010000001610000026060f002220574d4
643010000000000010082f6000000001600000000200000f09c0200f0bc0200010000009
c000000000000000000000044010000a10000000000000000000000b0270000d81300002
0454d4600000100f0bc02000600000001000000170000006c00000000000000000400000
003000040010000f000000000000000000000000000000000e2040080a90300410064006
f00620065002000500068006f0074006f00730068006f007000000049006d00610067006
500000000000000110000000c0000000800000009000000100000002c010000c70000000
b0000001000000045010000a20000005100000014bc0200000000000000000044010000a
1000000000000000000000000000000000000002c010000c700000050000000280000007
80000009cbb0200000000002000cc002c010000c7000000280000002c010000c70000000
10018000000000000000000130b0000130b00000000000000000000fffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
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ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
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ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
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ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
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ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
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ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
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ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
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ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
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ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
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ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
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ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
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ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
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ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
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ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
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ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
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ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
fffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff1610000026060f002220574d46430100000000000
1000000000000001600000000200000f07c0200f0bc0200fffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
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ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
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ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
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ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
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ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
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ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
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ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
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ffffffffffffffffffffffffefefea4a4a45555554b4b4b4a4a4a6b6b6bcacacafffffff
fffffffffffffffffbcbcbc5959594b4b4b5d5d5ddededebebebe5959594b4b4b5f5f5fc
1c1c1ffffffeaeaea5a5a5a191919161616656565f4f4f4ffffffaeaeae5555554b4b4b6
16161cacacaf8f8f85e5e5e4a4a4a959595fffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
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ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
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ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffafafa969696000000202020e1e1e1fcfcfcfffffff
ffffffffffffffffffbfbfb838383000000979797fffffffbfbfb7e7e7e000000898989f
bfbfbfcfcfc4848480000001c1c1c5c5c5c272727545454fefefefafafa686868000000a
8a8a8ffffff7f7f7f000000717171f5f5f5fffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
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ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
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ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
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ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
fffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffdedede000000404040fffffffffffffffffff
fffffffffffffffffffffffafafaf000000545454fcfcfcffffffb6b6b6000000a1a1a1f
fffffb9b9b9000000272727e2e2e2fffffff5f5f5575757bebebeffffff919191000000d
0d0d0e0e0e00c0c0c282828f7f7f7fffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
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ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
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ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
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ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff
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ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff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